Marie Vogt vs Mia Ristic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ITF W35 Horb Women Marie Vogt - Mia Ristic
Result
1:2
23/07/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Horb, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 Balls
46

Chances of winning


Marie Vogt
33.2%
Mia Ristic
66.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.1% 60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7% 61.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marie Vogt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marie Vogt's form might have worsened.
  • Mia Ristic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mia Ristic's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marie Vogt than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marie Vogt, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mia Ristic than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mia Ristic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Marie Vogt - Mia Ristic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.83
    (2.38)

    1.41
    (1.53)
    6.4%
    (7.4%)
    Preview Facts
    • Vogt is ranked WTA: 536. Ristic is ranked WTA: 314.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Vogt may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Ristic is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Marie Vogt
    Latest results of Mia Ristic
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Ortenzi J. (1)Lew Yan Foon A. (Q)0 : 2
    2Svendsen J. C. (Q)Vasilescu A. (Q)1 : 2
    3Thamm M.Sauvant C. (Q)2 : 1
    4Nugroho P. M.Avdeeva J. (6)0 : 2
    5Boskovic L. (3)Zhenikhova S.2 : 1
    6Rinaldo Persson K.Brockmann T. J. (Q)0 : 2
    7Lovric P.Smith T. N.1 : 2
    8Vogt M. (Q)Ristic M. (8)1 : 2
    9Park S. (7)Vargova N.2 : 1
    10Sakellaridi S.Dartron E.0 : 2
    11Petkovic A. (Q)Seibold E.0 : 2
    12Cortez Llorca L.Schunk N. (4)0 : 2
    13In-Albon Y. (5)Bennemann E. (Q)1 : 2
    14Diaz Adrover C.Pohle V.1 : 2
    15Jakupovic D.De Stefano S.2 : 0
    16Cherubini D.Noha Akugue N. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Lew Yan Foon A.Vasilescu A. (RET.)0 : 0
    2Thamm M.Avdeeva J. (6)2 : 0
    3Boskovic L. (3)Brockmann T. J.0 : 2
    4Smith T. N.Ristic M. (8)1 : 2
    5Park S. (7)Dartron E.2 : 0
    6Seibold E.Schunk N. (4)0 : 2
    7Bennemann E.Pohle V.2 : 0
    8Jakupovic D.Noha Akugue N. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Lew Yan Foon A.Thamm M.2 : 0
    2Brockmann T. J.Ristic M. (8)2 : 1
    3Park S. (7)Schunk N. (4)2 : 0
    4Bennemann E.Noha Akugue N. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Lew Yan Foon A.Brockmann T. J.2 : 0
    2Park S. (7)Noha Akugue N. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Lew Yan Foon A.Park S. (7)1 : 2