Result
2:0
28/09/2025 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
 Usa | Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Bengtson J. ⚽,
- 36', Bengtson J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Maldonado A. ↓, Alvarez J. ↑,
- 46', Queiroz F. ↓, Hernandez E. ↑,
- 65', Moncada D. 🟨,
- 68', Castillo B. ↓, Palma E. ↑,
- 68', Franco J. ↓, Diaz A. ↑,
- 68', Arzu M. ↓, Pinto J. ↑,
- 68', Bengtson J. ↓, Arboleda Y. ↑,
- 77', Mulet A. 🟨,
- 78', Lopez K. ↓, Chirinos M. ↑,
- 83', 2 - 0, Alvarez J. ⚽,
- 86', Felix B. ↓, Nunez L. ↑,
- 86', Chavez Y. ↓, Arias I. ↑,
- 90+2', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Olimpia Tegucigalpa
81% | Draw
14% | Choloma
5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Olimpia Tegucigalpa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olimpia Tegucigalpa's performance.Choloma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Choloma might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Tegucigalpa than the current prediction. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Choloma than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Choloma could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Choloma Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.07 ↓
(1.3) |
6.17 ↑
(5.2) |
17.09 ↑
(7.75) |
15.9%
(9.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: ) and 10).
- Olimpia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Choloma has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Choloma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Olimpia is the clear favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Olimpia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Olimpia Tegucigalpa won against Choloma?
Olimpia Tegucigalpa has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Choloma won against Olimpia Tegucigalpa?
Choloma has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Choloma were as follows:
23.07.2025
Choloma
-
Olimpia Tegucigalpa
2:7
Latest results of Olimpia Tegucigalpa
Latest results of Choloma
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 26:13 | 13 | 24 |
| 2 | Marathon | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 26:11 | 15 | 23 |
| 3 | Olancho | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 26:17 | 9 | 21 |
| 4 | Motagua | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 21:19 | 2 | 18 |
| 5 | UPNFM | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 18:19 | -1 | 16 |
| 6 | Platense | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19:13 | 6 | 15 |
| 7 | Real Espana | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:13 | 3 | 15 |
| 8 | Juticalpa | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15:21 | -6 | 13 |
| 9 | Genesis | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 16:22 | -6 | 9 |
| 10 | Choloma | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 12:32 | -20 | 7 |
| 11 | Victoria | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12:27 | -15 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: )
