Result
1:3
29/09/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Division - Apertura - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 North-central-america | Centro America TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 1', 0 - 1, Rivas D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 60', 1 - 1, Vasquez L. ⚽,
- 62', 1 - 2, Rivas D. ⚽,
- 79', Mancia I. 🟥,
- 84', 1 - 3, Villatoro R. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Hércules
17.1% | Draw
22.2% | Águila
60.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hércules has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hércules's form might have worsened.Águila has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Águila's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hércules, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águila than the current prediction. (-10.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Águila, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Hércules - Águila Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.11 ↑
(3.58) |
4.5 ↑
(3.52) |
1.51 ↓
(1.86) |
4.9%
(10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).
- Both teams are on a losing streak in recent matches.
- Hércules may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Águila might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Hércules won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Hércules won against Águila?
Hércules has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Águila won against Hércules?
Águila has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hércules - Águila were as follows:
12.08.2025
Águila
-
Hércules
2:0
27.07.2025
Águila
-
Hércules
2:1
Latest results of Hércules
El Salvador Primera Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Alianza FC ✔ | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30:14 | 16 | 36 |
| 2 | Luis Angel Firpo | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 31:18 | 13 | 34 |
| 3 | FAS | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 37:15 | 22 | 33 |
| 4 | Metapan | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 25:20 | 5 | 30 |
| 5 | Cacahuatique | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 23 |
| 6 | Municipal Limeno | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 22:26 | -4 | 20 |
| 7 | Platense Municipal | 16 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 21:19 | 2 | 18 |
| 8 | Aguila | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 12:16 | -4 | 17 |
| 9 | Inter F.A | 16 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 14 |
| 10 | Hercules | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 15:34 | -19 | 11 |
| 11 | Fuerte San Francisco | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 9:26 | -17 | 10 |
| 12 | Zacatecoluca | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11:23 | -12 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Alianza FC is Qualified for Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
