Result
0:0
03/08/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 3
- Referee: Lasyk P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 2 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 4 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 0.56 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (386/471) | 75% (211/283) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 0.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (386/471) | 75% (211/283) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 71% (34/48) | 42% (22/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (136/179) | 60% (40/67) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (11/37) | 33% (6/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.91 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 52 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.99 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.89 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 40', Kun P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 52', Stojanovic P. 🟨,
- 58', Shkurin I. ↓, Rajovic M. ↑,
- 58', Kun P. ↓, Reca A. ↑,
- 58', Morishita R. ↓, Kapustka B. ↑,
- 60', Kocyla D. ↓, Gaprindashvili T. ↑,
- 60', Oliveira J. ↓, Predenkiewicz M. ↑,
- 65', Reca A. 🟨,
- 69', Alfarela M. ↓, Wszolek P. ↑,
- 69', Jakubczyk K. ↓, Perea L. ↑,
- 69', Kerk S. ↓, Nguiamba A. ↑,
- 78', Chodyna K. ↓, Bichakhchyan V. ↑,
- 79', Percan ↓, Espiau Hernandez E. D. ↑,
- 83', Gaprindashvili T. 🟨,
- 86', Perea L. 🟨,
- 87', Navarro M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Legia Warsaw
62.7% | Draw
21.1% | Arka Gdynia
16.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Arka Gdynia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Legia Warsaw - Arka Gdynia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.5 ↓
(1.54) |
4.42 ↑
(4.13) |
5.79 ↑
(5.32) |
6.8%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Legia Warsaw - Arka Gdynia?
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Legia will win (votes: 28 - 93.3%). Arka will win (votes: 2 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 84.4% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Legia Warsaw will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Legia won 3.
- Legia is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Arka has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Legia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Legia has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Arka has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Legia is the undisputed favorite.
- There are questionable in Legia: Reca A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Arka: Jakubczyk K.
(Injury)
- We predict that Legia will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Legia won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 1.5:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Legia won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.7:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Legia Warsaw won against Arka Gdynia?
Legia Warsaw has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arka Gdynia won against Legia Warsaw?
Arka Gdynia has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Legia Warsaw - Arka Gdynia were as follows:
Latest results of Legia Warsaw
Latest results of Arka Gdynia
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wisla Plock | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | Legia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Radomiak Radom | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Widzew Lodz | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | Termalica B-B | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Cracovia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Jagiellonia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Gornik Zabrze | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Lech Poznan | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 6 |
| 10 | Arka Gdynia | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 5 |
| 11 | Korona Kielce | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | Pogon Szczecin | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | Rakow | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 14 | Motor Lublin | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 15 | Zaglebie | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 2 |
| 16 | GKS Katowice | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:9 | -6 | 1 |
| 17 | Piast Gliwice | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | Lechia Gdansk | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | -4 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
