Result
2:1
27/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Porto, hard - Final
Chances of winning
Gastao Elias
57.2% | Lucas Poullain
42.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gastao Elias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gastao Elias's performance.Lucas Poullain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lucas Poullain might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gastao Elias than the current prediction. (-10%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gastao Elias that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucas Poullain than the current prediction. (+10%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lucas Poullain could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Gastao Elias - Lucas Poullain Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63 ↓
(1.85) |
|
2.18 ↑
(1.85) |
7.3%
(8.1%) | |
Preview Facts
- Elias is ranked ATP: 318. Poullain is ranked ATP: 387.
- Elias has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Poullain is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Elias won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Gastao Elias won against Lucas Poullain?
Gastao Elias has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lucas Poullain won against Gastao Elias?
Lucas Poullain has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gastao Elias - Lucas Poullain were as follows:
Latest results of Gastao Elias
Latest results of Lucas Poullain
Draw
20251/16-finals| 1 | Moro Canas A. (1) | Graca J. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Parker S. | Moroni F. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Polmans M. | Nefve A. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Dhamne M. | Lokoli L. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Elias G. (4) | Silva T. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Rossi L. | Forcano I. | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Searle H. | Ursu V. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Freire Da Silva A. | Andaloro F. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Rosenkranz M. (6) | Potenza L. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Pinho T. | Maia H. | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Leote Prata V. | Batista D. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Torres T. | Added D. (RET.) (3) | 1 : 1 |
| 13 | Poullain L. (8) | Rocha F. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Morais D. | Marques D. | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Braithwaite T. | Malige M. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Fernandez Flores D. | Echargui M. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Moro Canas A. (1) | Moroni F. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Polmans M. | Lokoli L. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Elias G. (4) | Forcano I. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Searle H. | Andaloro F. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Potenza L. | Maia H. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Leote Prata V. | Torres T. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Poullain L. (8) | Marques D. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Malige M. | Echargui M. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Moroni F. | Lokoli L. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Elias G. (4) | Andaloro F. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Potenza L. | Torres T. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Poullain L. (8) | Malige M. | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Lokoli L. (7) | Elias G. (WO.) (4) | |
| 2 | Potenza L. | Poullain L. (8) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Elias G. (4) | Poullain L. (8) | 2 : 1 |
