Adria Soriano Barrera vs Hayato Matsuoka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Porto Challenger Men Adria Soriano Barrera - Hayato Matsuoka
Result
2:1
27/07/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
103
Double Faults
29
1st Serve Percentage
70%70%
1st Serve Points Won
70% (55/79)73% (46/63)
2nd Serve Points Won
47% (16/34)52% (14/27)
Break Points Saved
80% (12/15)50% (2/4)
1st Return Points Won
27% (17/63)30% (24/79)
2nd Return Points Won
48% (13/27)53% (18/34)
Break Points Converted
50% (2/4)20% (3/15)
Winners
2830
Unforced Errors
3837
Net Points Won
53% (9/17)71% (10/14)
Service Points Won
63% (71/113)67% (60/90)
Return Points Won
33% (30/90)37% (42/113)
Total Points Won
50% (101/203)50% (102/203)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
12
Service Games Won
80% (12/15)87% (13/15)
Return Games Won
13% (2/15)20% (3/15)
Total Games Won
47% (14/30)53% (16/30)

Chances of winning


Adria Soriano Barrera
69%
Hayato Matsuoka
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.6% 31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4% 29.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Adria Soriano Barrera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Hayato Matsuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adria Soriano Barrera than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hayato Matsuoka than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Adria Soriano Barrera - Hayato Matsuoka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.35
    (1.37)

    3.01
    (2.99)
    7.2%
    (6.4%)
    Preview Facts
    • Soriano Barrera is ranked ATP: 308. Matsuoka is ranked ATP: 663.
    • Soriano Barrera is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Matsuoka's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Matsuoka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Soriano Barrera is a strong favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Hayato Matsuoka
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Faria J. (1)Ymer E.1 : 2
    2Karatsev A.Kukushkin M.
    3Alvarez Varona N. (SE)Soto M.
    4Araujo P. (WC)Grenier H. (7)
    5Huesler M. (3)Ferreira Silva F.
    6Sultanov K.Echargui M. (Q)
    7Butvilas E.Yevseyev D.
    8Soriano Barrera A. (Q)van Assche L. (8)
    9Maestrelli F. (6)Torres T. (Q)
    10Loffhagen G.Zeppieri G. (Q)
    11McKennon M. (Q)Pereira T. (WC)
    12Escoffier A.Merida Aguilar D. (4)2 : 0
    13Rocha H. (5)Searle H. (Q)
    14Albot R. (Alt)Coulibaly E.0 : 2
    15Cui J.Moro Canas A.0 : 2
    16Elias G. (WC)Landaluce M. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Ymer E.TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11Escoffier A.
    7TBD #13Coulibaly E.
    8Moro Canas A.TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2