Result
4:0
30/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL League One
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 1.42 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (246/305) | 86% (387/452) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 1.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.34 | 0.68 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (246/305) | 86% (387/452) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (21/48) | 64% (30/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (51/84) | 76% (106/140) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 22% (6/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.87 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.68 | 2.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.68 | -1.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 16', Boyce D. (Pen),
- 17', Gabriel Cabral 🟨,
- 30', Tunbridge M. 🟨,
- 34', 1 - 0, Reid-Stephen N. ⚽,
- 37', 2 - 0, Reid-Stephen N. ⚽, Vivas S. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 52', Boyce D. 🟨,
- 57', Doyle C. 🟨,
- 63', Bartman N. ↓, Mesias A. ↑,
- 63', Boyce D. ↓, Angking I. ↑,
- 63', McLaughlin G. ↓, Boltz D. ↑,
- 64', Tunbridge M. ↓, Bazini Y. ↑,
- 68', Temitayo E. 🟨,
- 71', Reid-Stephen N. ↓, Bwana H. ↑,
- 71', Vivas S. ↓, Nyandjo J. ↑,
- 71', Sousa F. ↓, Garcia C. ↑,
- 71', Temitayo E. ↓, Viader D. ↑,
- 81', Gray T. ↓, Walker A. ↑,
- 81', Doyle C. ↓, Drey A. ↑,
- 83', 3 - 0, Bwana H. ⚽, Bazini Y. (A),
- 84', Reid-Stephen N. 🟨,
- 87', 4 - 0, Rasheed M. ⚽, Nyandjo J. (A),
Chances of winning
South Georgia Tormenta
38.1% | Draw
27.9% | Forward Madison
34% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
South Georgia Tormenta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)Forward Madison has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Georgia Tormenta than the current prediction. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forward Madison than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Forward Madison could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
South Georgia Tormenta - Forward Madison Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.42 ↓
(2.7) |
3.31 ↓
(3.4) |
2.71 ↑
(2.43) |
8.4%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tormenta won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Tormenta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Tormenta has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Forward Madison has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Tormenta won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:22. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tormenta won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.5:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has South Georgia Tormenta won against Forward Madison?
South Georgia Tormenta has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Forward Madison won against South Georgia Tormenta?
Forward Madison has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between South Georgia Tormenta - Forward Madison were as follows:
23.07.2025
Forward Madison
-
South Georgia Tormenta
1:0
15.06.2024
Forward Madison
-
South Georgia Tormenta
0:0
16.03.2024
South Georgia Tormenta
-
Forward Madison
1:1
19.08.2023
South Georgia Tormenta
-
Forward Madison
4:2
26.07.2023
Forward Madison
-
South Georgia Tormenta
1:4
Latest results of South Georgia Tormenta
Latest results of Forward Madison
USL League One Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 23 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 35:20 | 15 | 45 |
| 2 | Spokane Velocity | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 32:21 | 11 | 42 |
| 3 | One Knoxville | 23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 31:20 | 11 | 41 |
| 4 | FC Naples | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 33:26 | 7 | 41 |
| 5 | Charlotte Independ | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 38:40 | -2 | 31 |
| 6 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 29:24 | 5 | 31 |
| 7 | AV Alta | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 35:34 | 1 | 31 |
| 8 | Union Omaha | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 35:32 | 3 | 30 |
| 9 | Tormenta | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 37:42 | -5 | 29 |
| 10 | Texoma | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 31:46 | -15 | 26 |
| 11 | Forward Madison | 24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 24:29 | -5 | 26 |
| 12 | Greenville | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 33:38 | -5 | 24 |
| 13 | Richmond Kickers | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 30:36 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Westchester SC | 24 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 35:50 | -15 | 17 |
Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )
