Result
1:1 penalties
12/08/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Champions League - Qualification - Semi-finals
- Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Israel | 5 PLUS Israel |
 Kazakhstan | Qazsport |
 Slovakia | STVR Sport, Voyo |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.74 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (394/516) | 75% (314/418) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 23 | 29 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (394/516) | 75% (314/418) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (32/69) | 38% (25/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (91/155) | 69% (66/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 32% (7/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.49 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 29 | 23 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (13/23) | 60% (12/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 76 | 76 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 49 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.81 | -0.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 30', 1 - 0, Mak R. ⚽, Tolic M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 49', Weiss V. jr. 🟨,
- 59', Tolic M. 🟨,
- 60', Blackman C. 🟨,
- 61', Satpaev D. 🟨,
- 64', Weiss V. jr. ↓, Ignatenko D. ↑,
- 68', Edmilson Santos ↓, Zaria G. ↑,
- 68', Mata L. ↓, Mrynskiy A. ↑,
- 74', Mak R. 🟨,
- 75', Mak R. ↓, Marcelli N. ↑,
- 82', Bajric K. 🟨,
- 86', Cruz S. ↓, Pokorny P. ↑,
- 90+1', Gromyko V. 🟨,
- 90+4', Wimmer K. 🟨,
- Extra Time (0 - 0)
- 91', Blackman C. ↓, Mustafic A. ↑,
- 97', Marcelli N. 🟨,
- 98', Kitka B. 🟨,
- 100', Zaria G. 🟨,
- 103', Zaria G. ↓, Stanojev J. ↑,
- 106', Satpaev D. ↓, Ricardinho ↑,
- 106', Arad O. ↓, Kasabulat D. ↑,
- 106', Strelec D. ↓, Kukharevych M. ↑,
- 108', Mrynskiy A. 🟨,
- 117', Marcelli N. ↓, Yirajang A. ↑,
- Penalties (3 - 4)
- 1, Tolic M. (Pen),
- 1, Gromyko V. (Pen),
- 2, Pokorny P. (Pen),
- 2, Martynovich A. (Pen),
- 3, Kukharevych M. (Pen),
- 3, Ricardinho (Pen),
- 4, Mustafic A. (Pen),
- 4, Sorokin E. (Pen),
- 5, Barseghyan T. (Pen),
- 5, Jorginho (Pen),
Chances of winning
Slovan Bratislava
55.2% | Draw
24.3% | Kairat
20.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Slovan Bratislava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Slovan Bratislava's performance.Kairat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slovan Bratislava than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kairat than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Slovan Bratislava - Kairat Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↓
(2) |
3.88 ↑
(3.55) |
4.63 ↑
(3.87) |
5.6%
(4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Slovan Bratislava - Kairat?
Users Predictions:
Slovan Bratislava will win
(71 of 79 users predict this - 89.87%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.22% – 96.52%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Slovan Bratislava will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.
- Recent performances by Slovan Bratislava have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Kairat is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, Slovan Bratislava is the team to beat.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Slovan Bratislava won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Slovan Bratislava won against Kairat?
Slovan Bratislava has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kairat won against Slovan Bratislava?
Kairat has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Slovan Bratislava - Kairat were as follows:
06.08.2025
Kairat
-
Slovan Bratislava
1:0
Latest results of Slovan Bratislava
Draw
2025/261/8-finals| 1 | Rijeka | Bye | |
| 2 | Ludogorets | Din. Minsk | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Noah | Buducnost | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Ferencvaros | |
| 5 | TNS | Shkendija | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | FCSB | Inter Escaldes | 1 : 2, 3 : 1 |
| 7 | Shelbourne | Linfield | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Qarabag | |
| 9 | Lech Poznan | Bye | |
| 10 | Egnatia | Breidablik | 0 : 5, 1 : 0 |
| 11 | Vikingur | Lincoln Red Imps | 0 : 1, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | Bye | Crvena zvezda | |
| 13 | Zalgiris | Hamrun | 0 : 3, 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Bye | Dyn. Kyiv | |
| 15 | Pafos | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | Maccabi Tel Aviv | |
| 17 | Bodo/Glimt | Bye | |
| 24 | Bye | Sturm Graz | |
| 25 | Celtic | Bye | |
| 29 | KuPS | Milsami | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 30 | O. Ljubljana | Kairat Almaty | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 31 | Slovan Bratislava | Bye | |
| 32 | Virtus | Zrinjski | 1 : 2, 0 : 2 |
| 33 | Basel | Bye | |
| 37 | Levadia | RFS | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 38 | Iberia 1999 | Malmo FF | 1 : 3, 1 : 3 |
| 39 | FC Copenhagen | Bye | |
| 40 | Drita | Differdange | 3 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 41 | Feyenoord | Bye | |
| 44 | Bye | Fenerbahce | |
| 45 | Nice | Bye | |
| 48 | Bye | Benfica | |
| 49 | Rangers | Bye | |
| 50 | Bye | Panathinaikos | |
| 51 | Plzen | Bye | |
| 52 | Bye | Servette | |
| 53 | Brann | Bye | |
| 54 | Bye | Salzburg | |
| 56 | Bye | Club Brugge KV | |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Rijeka | Ludogorets | 1 : 3, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Noah | Ferencvaros | 3 : 4, 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Shkendija | FCSB | 2 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Shelbourne | Qarabag | 0 : 1, 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Lech Poznan | Breidablik | 1 : 0, 7 : 1 |
| 6 | Lincoln Red Imps | Crvena zvezda | 1 : 5, 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Hamrun | Dyn. Kyiv | 0 : 3, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Pafos | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 9 | Bodo/Glimt | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Sturm Graz | |
| 13 | Celtic | Bye | |
| 15 | KuPS | Kairat Almaty | 0 : 3, 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Slovan Bratislava | Zrinjski | 2 : 2, 4 : 0 |
| 17 | Basel | Bye | |
| 19 | RFS | Malmo FF | 0 : 1, 1 : 4 |
| 20 | FC Copenhagen | Drita | 1 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 21 | Feyenoord | Bye | |
| 22 | Bye | Fenerbahce | |
| 23 | Nice | Bye | |
| 24 | Bye | Benfica | |
| 25 | Rangers | Panathinaikos | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 26 | Plzen | Servette | 3 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 27 | Brann | Salzburg | 1 : 1, 1 : 4 |
| 28 | Bye | Club Brugge KV | |
Semi-finals| 1 | Ludogorets | Ferencvaros | 0 : 3, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Shkendija | Qarabag | 1 : 5, 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | Crvena zvezda | 1 : 1, 1 : 3 |
| 4 | Dyn. Kyiv | Pafos | 0 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Bodo/Glimt | Bye | |
| 6 | Bye | Sturm Graz | |
| 7 | Celtic | Bye | |
| 8 | Kairat Almaty | Slovan Bratislava | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 9 | Basel | Bye | |
| 10 | Malmo FF | FC Copenhagen | 0 : 5, 0 : 0 |
| 11 | Feyenoord | Fenerbahce | 2 : 5, 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Nice | Benfica | 0 : 2, 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Rangers | Plzen | 1 : 2, 3 : 0 |
| 14 | Salzburg | Club Brugge KV | 2 : 3, 0 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Ferencvaros | Qarabag | |
| 2 | Crvena zvezda | Pafos | |
| 3 | Bodo/Glimt | Sturm Graz | |
| 4 | Celtic | Kairat Almaty | |
| 5 | Basel | FC Copenhagen | |
| 6 | Fenerbahce | Benfica | |
| 7 | Rangers | Club Brugge KV | |
