Club Brugge vs Red Bull Salzburg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Club Brugge - Red Bull Salzburg
Result
3:2
12/08/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - Qualification - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Peljto I. (Bih)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
austriaAustriaServus TV
belgiumBelgiumVTM 2
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.550.66
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
2312
Shots on target
93
Big Chances
61
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
85% (420/492)83% (336/406)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
2.550.66
xG on target (xGOT)
3.601.51
Total shots
2312
Shots on target
93
Shots off target
114
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
188
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
61
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
4329
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
37
Passes
85% (420/492)83% (336/406)
Long passes
60% (28/47)55% (23/42)
Passes in final third
75% (114/152)70% (74/106)
Crosses
44% (8/18)33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.730.98
Throw-ins
1518
Fouls
74
Tackles
69% (11/16)77% (10/13)
Duels won
4428
Clearances
2028
Interceptions
912
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
1.513.60
Goals prevented
-0.490.60

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 18', 0 - 1, Rasmussen J. , Kjaergaard M. (A),
  • 42', 0 - 2, Baidoo E. , Lainer S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Meijer B. , Sabbe K. ,
  • 61', 1 - 2, Seys J. , Sabbe K. (A),
  • 64', Baidoo E. , Ratkov P. ,
  • 68', Vermant R. , Tresoldi N. ,
  • 68', Reis L. , Stankovic A. ,
  • 81', Spileers J. 🟨,
  • 82', Kjaergaard M. , Alajbegovic K. ,
  • 82', Vertessen Y. , Daghim A. ,
  • 83', 2 - 2, Forbs C. ,
  • 88', Forbs C. , Siquet H. ,
  • 90+1', Diabate S. , Schuster J. ,
  • 90+4', 3 - 2, Vanaken H. , Tzolis C. (A),
  • 90+6', Onyedika R. , Romero Z. ,

Chances of winning


Club Brugge
55.1%
Draw
23.5%
Red Bull Salzburg
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.9% 24.1% 22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5% 23.8% 21.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Club Brugge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Red Bull Salzburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club Brugge than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • Club Brugge - Red Bull Salzburg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (1.78)
    4.01
    (3.97)
    4.46
    (4.36)
    5.4%
    (4.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Club Brugge - Red Bull Salzburg?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 10 - 100%).
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Club Brugge will win (34 of 40 users predict this - 85%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.93%96.07%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Club Brugge will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.
    • Brugge is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Salzburg's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Salzburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Brugge is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Brugge will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Brugge won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Brugge won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Club Brugge - Red Bull Salzburg were as follows:
    06.08.2025 Red Bull Salzburg - Club Brugge 0:1
    Latest results of Club Brugge
    Latest results of Red Bull Salzburg
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1RijekaBye
    2LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    3NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    4ByeFerencvaros
    5TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    6FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    7ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    8ByeQarabag
    9Lech PoznanBye
    10EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    11VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    12ByeCrvena zvezda
    13ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    14ByeDyn. Kyiv
    15PafosBye
    16ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    17Bodo/GlimtBye
    24ByeSturm Graz
    25CelticBye
    29KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    30O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    31Slovan BratislavaBye
    32VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    33BaselBye
    37LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    38Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    39FC CopenhagenBye
    40DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    41FeyenoordBye
    44ByeFenerbahce
    45NiceBye
    48ByeBenfica
    49RangersBye
    50ByePanathinaikos
    51PlzenBye
    52ByeServette
    53BrannBye
    54ByeSalzburg
    56ByeClub Brugge KV

    Quarter-finals
    1RijekaLudogorets1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2NoahFerencvaros3 : 4, 1 : 2
    3ShkendijaFCSB2 : 1, 1 : 0
    4ShelbourneQarabag0 : 1, 0 : 3
    5Lech PoznanBreidablik1 : 0, 7 : 1
    6Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda1 : 5, 0 : 1
    7HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3, 0 : 3
    8PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9Bodo/GlimtBye
    12ByeSturm Graz
    13CelticBye
    15KuPSKairat Almaty0 : 3, 2 : 0
    16Slovan BratislavaZrinjski2 : 2, 4 : 0
    17BaselBye
    19RFSMalmo FF0 : 1, 1 : 4
    20FC CopenhagenDrita1 : 0, 2 : 0
    21FeyenoordBye
    22ByeFenerbahce
    23NiceBye
    24ByeBenfica
    25RangersPanathinaikos1 : 1, 2 : 0
    26PlzenServette3 : 1, 0 : 1
    27BrannSalzburg1 : 1, 1 : 4
    28ByeClub Brugge KV

    Semi-finals
    1LudogoretsFerencvaros0 : 3, 0 : 0
    2ShkendijaQarabag1 : 5, 0 : 1
    3Lech PoznanCrvena zvezda1 : 1, 1 : 3
    4Dyn. KyivPafos0 : 2, 0 : 1
    5Bodo/GlimtBye
    6ByeSturm Graz
    7CelticBye
    8Kairat AlmatySlovan Bratislava1 : 1, 1 : 0
    9BaselBye
    10Malmo FFFC Copenhagen0 : 5, 0 : 0
    11FeyenoordFenerbahce2 : 5, 2 : 1
    12NiceBenfica0 : 2, 0 : 2
    13RangersPlzen1 : 2, 3 : 0
    14SalzburgClub Brugge KV2 : 3, 0 : 1

    Final
    1FerencvarosQarabag
    2Crvena zvezdaPafos
    3Bodo/GlimtSturm Graz
    4CelticKairat Almaty
    5BaselFC Copenhagen
    6FenerbahceBenfica
    7RangersClub Brugge KV