Hércules vs Municipal Limeño – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football El Salvador Primera Division Hércules - Municipal Limeño
Result
0:1
06/10/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Division - Apertura - Round 15
  • Where to Watch on TV:
el-salvadorEl-salvadorCanal 4

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
98
Shots on target
33
Corner Kicks
35
Total shots
98
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
65
Corner Kicks
35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 81', 0 - 1, Correa J. ,

Chances of winning


Hércules
23.6%
Draw
26.4%
Municipal Limeño
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.4% 27.5% 40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3% 26.6% 41.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hércules has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hércules's form might have worsened.
  • Municipal Limeño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Municipal Limeño's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hércules, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Municipal Limeño than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Municipal Limeño, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Hércules - Municipal Limeño Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.05
    (2.8)
    3.49
    (3.29)
    1.8
    (2.26)
    8.9%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).
    • Hércules is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Municipal Limeño's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Municipal Limeño may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Municipal Limeño will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Municipal Limeño will win today's game, with odds of 1.84.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hércules won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hércules - Municipal Limeño were as follows:
    02.08.2025 Municipal Limeño - Hércules 5:2
    Latest results of Hércules
    El Salvador Primera Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Alianza FC ✔ 16113230:141636
    2Luis Angel Firpo16104231:181334
    3FAS15103237:152233
    4Metapan1693425:20530
    5Cacahuatique1665522:18423
    6Municipal Limeno1662822:26-420
    7Platense Municipal1639421:19218
    8Aguila1452712:16-417
    9Inter F.A1628616:22-614
    10Hercules15321015:34-1911
    11Fuerte San Francisco142489:26-1710
    12Zacatecoluca16231111:23-129

          Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Alianza FC is Qualified for Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs )