Senegal vs Nigeria, African Nations Championship – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football African Nations Championship Senegal - Nigeria
Result
1:0
05/08/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • African Nations Championship
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 1, CANAL+ Sport 1, DStv Now, New World Sport 6, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 360
andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
cameroonCameroonMedia Sport Info
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports
chinaChinaZhiBo8
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
ghanaGhanaGTV Sports Plus
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Sports 3, Sooka
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 1
south-africaSouth-africaSABC Plus, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 4
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
ugandaUgandaFUFA TV, UBC TV
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.790.14
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
86
Shots on target
21
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
22
Passes
70% (201/287)75% (298/396)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.790.14
xG on target (xGOT)
0.990.01
Total shots
86
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
43
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
22
Touches in opposition box
169
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1713
Passes
70% (201/287)75% (298/396)
Long passes
53% (30/57)42% (31/74)
Passes in final third
53% (46/87)56% (53/95)
Crosses
27% (3/11)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.820.41
Throw-ins
1834
Fouls
1317
Tackles
48% (10/21)65% (11/17)
Duels won
8051
Clearances
2724
Interceptions
65
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.010.99
Goals prevented
0.01-0.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 6', Tochukwu R. 🟨,
  • 23', Junior N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Ndiaye M. 🟨,
  • 69', Abdulrafiu T. , Harrison A. ,
  • 75', 1 - 0, Gomis C. ,
  • 79', Niang A. , Vieux C. ,
  • 79', Koita M. , Badji P. ,
  • 80', Akanni Q. , Temitope V. ,
  • 81', Jabbar M. , Adelani S. ,
  • 87', Harrison A. 🟨,
  • 90', Ijoma A. , Obaje G. ,
  • 90+1', Sikiru A. , Yusuf A. ,
  • 90+3', Gueye L. , Ndiaye M. ,
  • 90+3', Mbaye Y. , Fonseca B. ,

Chances of winning


Senegal
30.6%
Draw
31.9%
Nigeria
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.3% 30.3% 40.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Senegal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Nigeria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Senegal - Nigeria Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.02
    (3.1)
    2.91
    (3)
    2.51
    (2.25)
    7.4%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Senegal - Nigeria?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Senegal will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Nigeria will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Senegal: 26.7%80.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Senegal won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    Latest results of Senegal
    07.07.2025 Senegal - Guinea 1:0
    04.07.2025 Senegal - Guinea 0:0
    10.06.2025 England - Senegal 1:3
    06.06.2025 Ireland - Senegal 1:1
    25.03.2025 Senegal - Togo 2:0
    Latest results of Nigeria
    06.06.2025 Russia - Nigeria 1:1
    31.05.2025 Jamaica - Nigeria 2:2
    28.05.2025 Nigeria - Ghana 2:1
    25.03.2025 Nigeria - Zimbabwe 1:1
    21.03.2025 Rwanda - Nigeria 0:2
    Draw
    Final tournament

    Quarter-finals
    1Kenya (A1)Madagascar (B2)1 : 2
    2Sudan (D1)Algeria (C2)2 : 1
    3Tanzania (B1)Morocco (A2)0 : 1
    4Uganda (C1)Senegal (D2)0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Madagascar (B2)Sudan (D1)
    2Morocco (A2)Senegal (D2)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2

    3rd place