Result
1:2
18/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 3.52 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 21 | 34 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 4.76% (1/21) | 5.88% (2/34) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 32 | 20 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 94.12% (32/34) | 95.24% (20/21) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 50% (1/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 50% (1/2) | 100% (2/2) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 45.95 | 54.05 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 1)
- 08:02, 0 - 1, Kainulainen H. (G), Rautiainen T. (A),
- 10:51, Loponen M. (2 min),
- 15:21, 1 - 1, Tieksola T. (G), Tikka T. (A), Tichacek J. (A2)
- 19:10, Bjork M. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (0 - 1)
- 00:29, 1 - 2, Paivarinta S. (G), Rautiainen T. (A), Eronen E. (A2)
- 08:32, Ohtamaa A. (2 min),
- 19:55, Sertti L. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Kärpät
53% | Draw
22% | HPK
25% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Kärpät - HPK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↓
(1.82) |
4.26 ↓
(4.46) |
3.75 ↑
(3.51) |
6.2%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
What is the prediction for Kärpät - HPK?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Kärpät will win (votes: 2 - 40%). HPK will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. HPK (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kärpät won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Kärpät may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Kärpät is the team to beat.
- We predict that Kärpät will win today's game, with odds of 1.81.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kärpät won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 58:40. (average 2.9:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kärpät won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 32:18. (average 3.6:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Kärpät won against HPK?
Kärpät has won 12 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HPK won against Kärpät?
HPK has won 5 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kärpät - HPK were as follows:
17.10.2025
Kärpät
-
HPK
5:2
22.01.2025
Kärpät
-
HPK
0:3
13.12.2024
HPK
-
Kärpät
0:4
23.11.2024
Kärpät
-
HPK
4:5
02.10.2024
HPK
-
Kärpät
3:4
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Assat | 22 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 71:46 | 46 |
| 2 | JYP | 20 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 82:56 | 44 |
| 3 | Tappara | 22 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 75:50 | 41 |
| 4 | KooKoo | 22 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 75:64 | 38 |
| 5 | Lukko | 21 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 63:54 | 37 |
| 6 | Jukurit | 23 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 57:61 | 35 |
| 7 | SaiPa | 23 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 70:66 | 34 |
| 8 | Kiekko-Espoo | 22 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 62:64 | 33 |
| 9 | TPS Turku | 22 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 51:55 | 32 |
| 10 | KalPa | 20 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 62:64 | 31 |
| 11 | Hameenlinna | 22 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 58:63 | 31 |
| 12 | Ilves | 22 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 63:73 | 29 |
| 13 | Karpat | 23 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 78:79 | 27 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 20 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 35:56 | 21 |
| 15 | Vaasan Sport | 20 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 47:65 | 20 |
| 16 | IFK Helsinki | 22 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 41:74 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
