Tappara vs Mikkelin Jukurit – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
04/03/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liiga
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
swedenSwedenTV4 Play

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.701.22
Shots on Goal
2915
Shots off target
114
Shooting PCT
10.34% (3/29)6.67% (1/15)
Blocked shots
96
Goalkeeper Saves
1426
Saves PCT
93.33% (14/15)89.66% (26/29)
Penalties
12
PIM
24
Power-play Goals
10
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
50% (1/2)0% (0/1)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (1/1)50% (1/2)
Faceoffs Won
2321
Faceoffs %
52.2747.73
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 0)
  • 04:02, (2 min),
  • 04:46, 1 - 0, Rasanen A. (G), Matinmikko A. (A), Blichfeld J. (A2)
  • 13:02, Brickley D. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (2 - 0)
  • 01:11, 2 - 0, Rautiainen B. (G), Heljanko C. (A),
  • 05:20, 3 - 0, Andersson J. (G), Brickley D. (A), Rautiainen B. (A2)
  • 05:42, Valojarvi V. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (0 - 1)
  • 12:13, 3 - 1, Teshome N. (G), Baggstrom R. (A), Romppanen N. (A2)

Chances of winning


Tappara
80.4%
Draw
12%
Mikkelin Jukurit
7.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.6% 18% 11.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6% 18.5% 11.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tappara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tappara's performance.
  • Mikkelin Jukurit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tappara than the current prediction. (-11.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tappara that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mikkelin Jukurit than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • Tappara - Mikkelin Jukurit Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.18
    (1.32)
    7.75
    (5.18)
    12.16
    (8.19)
    5.9%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tappara won 4.
    • Tappara is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Jukurit has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Jukurit may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Tappara has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Tappara is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tappara won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 68:49. (average 3.4:2.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tappara won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:24. (average 3:2.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tappara - Mikkelin Jukurit were as follows:
    27.01.2026 Mikkelin Jukurit - Tappara 2:3
    26.11.2025 Tappara - Mikkelin Jukurit 4:3
    22.11.2025 Mikkelin Jukurit - Tappara 2:3
    15.03.2025 Mikkelin Jukurit - Tappara 2:6
    29.01.2025 Tappara - Mikkelin Jukurit 1:2
    Latest results of Tappara
    28.02.2026 Kärpät - Tappara 1:4
    27.02.2026 KalPa - Tappara 1:10
    20.02.2026 Pelicans - Tappara 4:3
    18.02.2026 Tappara - JYP 4:1
    14.02.2026 Lukko - Tappara 1:4
    Latest results of Mikkelin Jukurit
    28.02.2026 Mikkelin Jukurit - JYP 2:3
    27.02.2026 HIFK - Mikkelin Jukurit 2:3
    25.02.2026 Lukko - Mikkelin Jukurit 2:1
    18.02.2026 Ässät - Mikkelin Jukurit 5:3
    Finnish SM-liiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Tappara ✔ 57343515214:138113
    2SaiPa58306715197:154109
    3KooKoo57307218201:148106
    4JYP572511615191:164103
    5Ilves57278418175:144101
    6Lukko57278418173:145101
    7KalPa58277519174:170100
    8Assat ✔ 57246423155:15688
    9Kiekko-Espoo ✔ 582151121147:15584
    10Pelicans57198723130:14980
    11IFK Helsinki57224526137:17879
    12Hameenlinna57168825138:15872
    13TPS Turku57167925134:16271
    14Jukurit57156729127:15664
    15Karpat57156630167:18863
    16Vaasan Sport58911137107:20240

          Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Tappara is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Assat is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Kiekko-Espoo is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)