Poland vs Iceland, EuroBasket – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball EuroBasket Poland - Iceland
31/08/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EuroBasket - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 6
europeEuropeGo3 Sport 2 Baltic
finlandFinlandRuutu+
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport
greeceGreeceNova Sports 4
icelandIcelandRUV
italyItalyDAZN Italia
norwayNorwayDAZN
polandPolandTVP Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4, SportKlub 6
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 3
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenDAZN
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
worldWorldCourt Side 1891

Chances of winning


Poland
78.8%
Iceland
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
73.3% 26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.6% 26.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Poland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Poland's performance.
  • Iceland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Iceland might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poland than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Poland that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iceland than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Iceland could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Poland - Iceland Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.23
    (1.31)

    4.47
    (3.6)
    3.5%
    (4.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 161.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)
  • What is the prediction for Poland - Iceland?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Poland will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Iceland will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 86:76.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent performances by Poland have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Iceland is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Iceland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Poland is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Poland won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 345:287. (average 86.3:71.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Poland - Iceland were as follows:
    03.08.2025 Poland - Iceland 92:90
    Latest results of Poland
    30.08.2025 Poland - Israel 66:64
    28.08.2025 Slovenia - Poland 95:105
    21.08.2025 Finland - Poland 106:87
    17.08.2025 Poland - Finland 88:97
    14.08.2025 Poland - Georgia 94:89
    Latest results of Iceland
    30.08.2025 Iceland - Belgium 64:71
    28.08.2025 Israel - Iceland 83:71
    22.08.2025 Lithuania - Iceland 96:83
    15.08.2025 Portugal - Iceland 83:79
    14.08.2025 Sweden - Iceland 70:73
    EuroBasket Table
    Final tournament

    Group A
    PlWLPts
    1Turkey330280:2056
    2Serbia330262:2136
    3Latvia312225:2474
    4Estonia312223:2454
    5Portugal312185:2254
    6Czech Republic303203:2433


    Group B
    PlWLPts
    1Germany330318:2476
    2Finland330287:2346
    3Lithuania321276:2445
    4Sweden312251:2574
    5Great Britain303208:2813
    6Montenegro303208:2853


    Group C
    PlWLPts
    1Greece330265:1886
    2Georgia312198:2414
    3Spain211157:1503
    4Bosnia & Herzegovina211158:1523
    5Italy211144:1373
    6Cyprus202133:1872


    Group D
    PlWLPts
    1France220195:1594
    2Slovenia312276:2774
    3Poland220171:1594
    4Belgium312204:2424
    5Israel211147:1373
    6Iceland202135:1542

          Promotion ~ EuroBasket (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)