Result
2:1
04/08/2025 at 06:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cordenons - Qualification, clay - Final
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 70% | 57% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 62% (37/60) | 64% (36/56) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 54% (14/26) | 35% (15/43) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 70% (16/23) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 36% (20/56) | 38% (23/60) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 65% (28/43) | 46% (12/26) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 30% (7/23) | 56% (5/9) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 22 | 31 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 19 | 44 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 74% (23/31) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 59% (48/82) | 52% (51/98) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (47/98) | 41% (34/82) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (95/180) | 47% (85/180) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 46% (6/13) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 36% (5/14) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 59% (16/27) | 41% (11/27) |
Chances of winning
Mariano Kestelboim
47.9% | Michael Vrbensky
52.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mariano Kestelboim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mariano Kestelboim's performance.Michael Vrbensky has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Michael Vrbensky might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Kestelboim than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Vrbensky than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Mariano Kestelboim - Michael Vrbensky Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↓
(2.24) |
|
1.79 ↑
(1.59) |
7.4%
(7.5%) | |
What is the prediction for Mariano Kestelboim - Michael Vrbensky?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Kestelboim (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Mariano Kestelboim will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is .
Preview Facts
- Kestelboim is ranked ATP: 395. Vrbensky is ranked ATP: 497.
- Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
- Vrbensky may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Vrbensky could have a small edge in this match.
- Recently, the players have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Mariano Kestelboim won against Michael Vrbensky?
Mariano Kestelboim has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Michael Vrbensky won against Mariano Kestelboim?
Michael Vrbensky has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mariano Kestelboim - Michael Vrbensky were as follows:
Latest results of Mariano Kestelboim
Latest results of Michael Vrbensky
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Taberner C. (1) | Bondioli F. (NG) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Alcala Gurri M. (Q) | Giustino L. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Bueno G. | Nijboer R. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Torres J. B. | Clarke J. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Neumayer L. (4) | Kestelboim M. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Piraino G. (WC) | Sels J. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Kicker N. (Q) | Prado Angelo J. C. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Prihodko O. (Alt) | Travaglia S. (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 9 | Coppejans K. (6) | Pereira T. | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Arnaboldi F. | Stebe C. (PR) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | De Krom M. (LL) | Vacherot V. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Kolar Z. (Q) | Piros Z. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Rodriguez Taverna S. (5) | Sanchez Izquierdo N. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Sanchez Jover C. | Vrbensky M. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Caniato C. A. (WC) | Paulson A. (PR) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Dellien Velasco M. A. | Lajovic D. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Taberner C. (1) | Alcala Gurri M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bueno G. | Clarke J. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Neumayer L. (4) | Piraino G. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Kicker N. | Prihodko O. | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Pereira T. | Stebe C. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Vacherot V. | Piros Z. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Rodriguez Taverna S. (5) | Sanchez Jover C. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Caniato C. A. | Lajovic D. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Taberner C. (1) | Bueno G. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Neumayer L. (4) | Kicker N. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Stebe C. | Piros Z. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Rodriguez Taverna S. (5) | Lajovic D. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Taberner C. (1) | Neumayer L. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Stebe C. | Lajovic D. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Neumayer L. (4) | Lajovic D. (2) | 0 : 2 |
