Alex De Minaur vs Ben Shelton – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Toronto
Tennis ATP Toronto Alex De Minaur - Ben Shelton
Result
0:2
05/08/2025 at 20:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Toronto, hard - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 1
brazilBrazilESPN 2
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 1
czech-republicCzech-republicPremier Sport 1, Premier Sport 2
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 6
hungaryHungaryMatch 4
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4
portugalPortugalSport TV2
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport 2
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Tennis
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis

Match Stats

Aces
111
Double Faults
21
1st Serve Percentage
53%62%
1st Serve Points Won
66% (23/35)78% (29/37)
2nd Serve Points Won
48% (15/31)52% (12/23)
Break Points Saved
40% (2/5)50% (1/2)
Average 1st Serve Speed
187 km/h204 km/h
Average 2nd Serve Speed
156 km/h170 km/h
1st Return Points Won
22% (8/37)34% (12/35)
2nd Return Points Won
48% (11/23)52% (16/31)
Break Points Converted
50% (1/2)60% (3/5)
Winners
1422
Unforced Errors
2823
Net Points Won
79% (11/14)43% (3/7)
Service Points Won
58% (38/66)68% (41/60)
Return Points Won
32% (19/60)42% (28/66)
Total Points Won
45% (57/126)55% (69/126)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
67% (6/9)90% (9/10)
Return Games Won
10% (1/10)33% (3/9)
Total Games Won
37% (7/19)63% (12/19)

Chances of winning


Alex De Minaur
58.5%		Ben Shelton
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.2% 39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9% 37.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alex De Minaur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Ben Shelton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ben Shelton than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
    •

    Alex De Minaur - Ben Shelton Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.65 ↑
    (1.57)
    		2.29 ↓
    (2.38)    		 4.2%
    (5.6%)
    What is the prediction for Alex De Minaur - Ben Shelton?
  • Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. De Minaur will win (votes: 8 - 33.3%). Shelton will win (votes: 16 - 66.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Shelton: 47.8% – 85.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. De Minaur (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Shelton (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • De Minaur is ranked ATP: 8. Shelton is ranked ATP: 7.
    • Right now, both players are showing solid form.
    • De Minaur may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • De Minaur is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Alex De Minaur
    03.08.2025 Francis Tiafoe - Alex De Minaur 1:2 ✺
    02.08.2025 Christopher OConnell - Alex De Minaur De Minaur A. walkover ✺
    30.07.2025 Francisco Comesana - Alex De Minaur 0:2 ✺
    27.07.2025 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Alex De Minaur 1:2 ✺
    26.07.2025 Corentin Moutet - Alex De Minaur 0:2 ✺
    Latest results of Ben Shelton
    03.08.2025 Flavio Cobolli - Ben Shelton 1:2 ✺
    01.08.2025 Brandon Nakashima - Ben Shelton 1:2 ✺
    30.07.2025 Adrian Mannarino - Ben Shelton 0:2 ✺
    26.07.2025 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Ben Shelton 2:0 ✺
    25.07.2025 Ben Shelton - Francis Tiafoe 2:0 ✺
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Bye
    2Walton A.Bonzi B.2 : 1
    3Schoolkate T. (Q)Fonseca J.2 : 0
    4ByeArnaldi M. (32)
    5Griekspoor T. (24)Bye
    6Herbert P. (Q)Etcheverry T. M.1 : 2
    7Martin D. (Q)Munar J.0 : 2
    8ByeCerundolo F. (14)
    9Medvedev D. (10)Bye
    10Blockx A. (Q)Svrcina D. (LL)0 : 2
    11Arseneault N. (WC)Royer V. (Q)2 : 0
    12ByePopyrin A. (18)
    13Muller A. (29)Bye
    14Kecmanovic M.Halys Q.2 : 1
    15Mochizuki S. (Q)Mpetshi Perricard G.0 : 2
    16ByeRune H. (5)
    17Musetti L. (3)Bye
    18Shang J.Duckworth J. (Q)0 : 2
    19Monfils G.Barrios Vera T. (Q)1 : 2
    20ByeMichelsen A. (26)
    21Shapovalov D. (22)Bye
    22Smith C. (Q)Tien L.0 : 2
    23Ofner S. (PR)Opelka R.0 : 2
    24ByeMachac T. (16)
    25Khachanov K. (11)Bye
    26Fearnley J.Ficovich J. P. (Q)0 : 2
    27Nava E. (Q)Bergs Z.2 : 0
    28ByeAtmane T. (LL)
    29Borges N. (30)Bye
    30Bagnis F. (Q)Pospisil V. (WC)2 : 1
    31Safiullin R.Blanchet U. (Q)2 : 1
    32ByeRuud C. (8)
    33Tiafoe F. (7)Bye
    34Watanuki Y. (Q)Altmaier D.2 : 1
    35Vukic A.Martinez P.2 : 0
    36ByeNorrie C. (31)
    37Tsitsipas S. (23)Bye
    38O'Connell C.Tseng C. H. (LL)2 : 0
    39Comesana F.Dzumhur D.2 : 0
    40ByeDe Minaur A. (9)
    41Cobolli F. (13)Bye
    42Rinderknech A.Galarneau A. (WC)0 : 2
    43Marozsan F.Dellien H.2 : 0
    44ByeAuger-Aliassime F. (21)
    45Nakashima B. (25)Bye
    46Quinn E.Nishioka Y.2 : 0
    47Giron M.Mannarino A. (Q)0 : 2
    48ByeShelton B. (4)
    49Rublev A. (6)Bye
    50Bellucci M. (RET.)Gaston H.1 : 1
    51Kopriva V.Bu Y.0 : 2
    52ByeSonego L. (28)
    53Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Bye
    54Moutet C.Brooksby J. (PR)2 : 0
    55Boyer T. (Q)Kovacevic A.2 : 0
    56ByeMensik J. (12)
    57Fils A. (15)Bye
    58Draxl L. (WC)Carreno-Busta P.1 : 2
    59McDonald M.Goffin D.2 : 0
    60ByeLehecka J. (19)
    61Diallo G. (27)Bye
    62Coric B.Gigante M. (WC)1 : 2
    63Carballes Baena R.Ugo Carabelli C. (RET.)1 : 0
    64ByeFritz T. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Walton A.2 : 0
    2Schoolkate T.Arnaldi M. (32)1 : 2
    3Griekspoor T. (24)Etcheverry T. M.0 : 2
    4Munar J.Cerundolo F. (14)1 : 2
    5Medvedev D. (10)Svrcina D.2 : 0
    6Arseneault N.Popyrin A. (18)0 : 2
    7Muller A. (29)Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    8Mpetshi Perricard G.Rune H. (5)0 : 2
    9Musetti L. (3)Duckworth J.2 : 0
    10Barrios Vera T.Michelsen A. (26)0 : 2
    11Shapovalov D. (22)Tien L.0 : 2
    12Opelka R.Machac T. (16)2 : 1
    13Khachanov K. (11)Ficovich J. P.2 : 0
    14Nava E.Atmane T.2 : 0
    15Borges N. (30)Bagnis F.2 : 1
    16Safiullin R.Ruud C. (8)0 : 2
    17Tiafoe F. (7)Watanuki Y.2 : 1
    18Vukic A.Norrie C. (31)2 : 1
    19Tsitsipas S. (23)O'Connell C.1 : 2
    20Comesana F.De Minaur A. (9)0 : 2
    21Cobolli F. (13)Galarneau A.2 : 1
    22Marozsan F.Auger-Aliassime F. (21)2 : 0
    23Nakashima B. (25)Quinn E.2 : 0
    24Mannarino A.Shelton B. (4)0 : 2
    25Rublev A. (6)Gaston H.2 : 0
    26Bu Y.Sonego L. (28)0 : 2
    27Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Moutet C.2 : 0
    28Boyer T.Mensik J. (12)0 : 2
    29Fils A. (15)Carreno-Busta P.2 : 0
    30McDonald M.Lehecka J. (19)0 : 2
    31Diallo G. (27)Gigante M.2 : 0
    32Carballes Baena R.Fritz T. (2)0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Arnaldi M. (32)2 : 1
    2Etcheverry T. M.Cerundolo F. (14)0 : 2
    3Medvedev D. (10)Popyrin A. (18)1 : 2
    4Muller A. (29)Rune H. (5)0 : 2
    5Musetti L. (3)Michelsen A. (26)1 : 2
    6Tien L.Opelka R.2 : 0
    7Khachanov K. (11)Nava E.2 : 1
    8Borges N. (30)Ruud C. (8)0 : 2
    9Tiafoe F. (7)Vukic A.2 : 1
    10O'Connell C.De Minaur A. (WO.) (9)
    11Cobolli F. (13)Marozsan F.2 : 1
    12Nakashima B. (25)Shelton B. (4)1 : 2
    13Rublev A. (6)Sonego L. (28)2 : 1
    14Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Mensik J. (12)2 : 0
    15Fils A. (15)Lehecka J. (19)1 : 2
    16Diallo G. (27)Fritz T. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Cerundolo F. (RET.) (14)1 : 0
    2Popyrin A. (18)Rune H. (5)2 : 1
    3Michelsen A. (26)Tien L.2 : 0
    4Khachanov K. (11)Ruud C. (8)2 : 0
    5Tiafoe F. (7)De Minaur A. (9)1 : 2
    6Cobolli F. (13)Shelton B. (4)1 : 2
    7Rublev A. (6)Davidovich Fokina A. (RET.) (20)1 : 1
    8Lehecka J. (19)Fritz T. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Popyrin A. (18)2 : 1
    2Michelsen A. (26)Khachanov K. (11)0 : 2
    3De Minaur A. (9)Shelton B. (4)0 : 2
    4Rublev A. (6)Fritz T. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Khachanov K. (11)1 : 2
    2Shelton B. (4)Fritz T. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Khachanov K. (11)Shelton B. (4)1 : 2
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