Cardiff City vs Swindon Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Cup Cardiff City - Swindon Town
Result
2:1
12/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EFL Cup - 1/64-finals
  • Referee: Bell E. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
japanJapanDAZN Japan
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.611.00
Ball Possession
73%27%
Total shots
178
Shots on target
101
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
122
Passes
87% (519/595)65% (141/216)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.611.00
xG on target (xGOT)
2.510.27
Total shots
178
Shots on target
101
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
105
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
122
Touches in opposition box
2514
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
43
Free Kicks
147
Passes
87% (519/595)65% (141/216)
Long passes
57% (34/60)41% (23/56)
Passes in final third
81% (152/187)46% (36/79)
Crosses
25% (4/16)38% (3/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.140.32
Throw-ins
1919
Fouls
714
Tackles
77% (10/13)58% (11/19)
Duels won
4544
Clearances
1132
Interceptions
812
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
08
xGOT faced
0.272.51
Goals prevented
-0.730.51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 21', 1 - 0, Ashford C. ,
  • 45+2', 2 - 0, Colwill R. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Wright W. , Clarke O. ,
  • 46', Wilson-Brown T. , Munroe F. ,
  • 46', Bodin B. , Oldaker D. ,
  • 50', Ripley C. , Ward L. ,
  • 52', Clarke O. 🟨,
  • 55', 2 - 1, Ehibhatiomhan P. , Oldaker D. (A),
  • 60', Kpakio R. 🟨,
  • 68', Robinson C. , Salech Y. ,
  • 68', Davies I. , Willock C. ,
  • 77', Ehibhatiomhan P. , Tabor J. ,
  • 80', McGregor J. 🟨,
  • 87', Colwill R. , Colwill J. ,
  • 87', Ashford C. , Tanner O. ,
  • 90+3', Turnbull D. , King E. ,

Chances of winning


Cardiff City
53.1%
Draw
24.9%
Swindon Town
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58% 23.6% 18.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cardiff City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • Swindon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Cardiff City - Swindon Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (1.59)
    3.79
    (3.91)
    4.09
    (5.01)
    4.4%
    (8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Cardiff City - Swindon Town?
  • Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Cardiff will win (votes: 24 - 96%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cardiff: 88.3%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cardiff City will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Swindon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Swindon has had a series of away games.
    • Cardiff is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cardiff won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.
    Latest results of Cardiff City
    Latest results of Swindon Town
    Draw
    Main

    1/64-finals
    1BirminghamSheffield Utd2 : 1
    2BlackpoolPort Vale0 : 1
    4ByeArsenal
    5BarnsleyFleetwood3 : 2
    6SalfordRotherham0 : 1
    7Oxford UtdColchester1 : 0
    8ByeBrighton
    9BoltonSheffield Wed3 : 4
    10ByeLeeds
    11GrimsbyShrewsbury3 : 1
    12ByeManchester Utd
    13BournemouthBye
    14ByeBrentford
    16ByeAston Villa
    17SwanseaCrawley3 : 1
    18PlymouthQPR3 : 2
    20ByeNottingham
    21SunderlandBye
    22HuddersfieldLeicester3 : 2
    24ByeManchester City
    25NewcastleBye
    27StokeWalsall1 : 0
    28BlackburnBradford City1 : 2
    29TottenhamBye
    31AccringtonPeterborough2 : 1
    32MiddlesbroughDoncaster0 : 4
    33BarrowPreston0 : 1
    34WrexhamHull4 : 3
    35PortsmouthReading1 : 2
    36GillinghamAFC Wimbledon1 : 2
    37BurnleyBye
    38West BromDerby1 : 2
    39CardiffSwindon2 : 1
    40CheltenhamExeter2 : 0
    41LiverpoolBye
    43WatfordNorwich1 : 2
    44NorthamptonSouthampton0 : 1
    45Crystal PalaceBye
    47NewportMillwall0 : 1
    48CoventryLuton1 : 0
    49WolvesBye
    50ByeWest Ham
    51EvertonBye
    52ChesterfieldMansfield0 : 2
    53TranmereBurton1 : 2
    54HarrogateLincoln1 : 3
    56ByeChelsea
    57WiganNotts Co1 : 0
    58Stockport CountyCrewe3 : 1
    59BromleyIpswich2 : 1
    60Leyton OrientWycombe0 : 1
    61FulhamBye
    62Bristol CityMK Dons2 : 0
    63Bristol RoversCambridge Utd0 : 2
    64CharltonStevenage3 : 1

    1/32-finals
    1BirminghamPort Vale0 : 1
    2ByeArsenal
    3BarnsleyRotherham2 : 1
    4Oxford UtdBrighton0 : 6
    5Sheffield WedLeeds2 : 1
    6GrimsbyManchester Utd3 : 2
    7BournemouthBrentford0 : 2
    8ByeAston Villa
    9SwanseaPlymouth2 : 1
    10ByeNottingham
    11SunderlandHuddersfield1 : 2
    12ByeManchester City
    13NewcastleBye
    14StokeBradford City0 : 3
    15TottenhamBye
    16AccringtonDoncaster0 : 2
    17PrestonWrexham2 : 3
    18ReadingAFC Wimbledon2 : 1
    19BurnleyDerby2 : 1
    20CardiffCheltenham3 : 0
    21LiverpoolBye
    22NorwichSouthampton0 : 3
    23Crystal PalaceBye
    24MillwallCoventry2 : 1
    25WolvesWest Ham3 : 2
    26EvertonMansfield2 : 0
    27BurtonLincoln0 : 1
    28ByeChelsea
    29WiganStockport County1 : 0
    30BromleyWycombe1 : 2
    31FulhamBristol City2 : 0
    32Cambridge UtdCharlton3 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Port ValeArsenal0 : 2
    2BarnsleyBrighton0 : 6
    3Sheffield WedGrimsby0 : 1
    4BrentfordAston Villa2 : 1
    5SwanseaNottingham3 : 2
    6HuddersfieldManchester City0 : 2
    7NewcastleBradford City4 : 1
    8TottenhamDoncaster3 : 0
    9WrexhamReading2 : 0
    10BurnleyCardiff1 : 2
    11LiverpoolSouthampton2 : 1
    12Crystal PalaceMillwall2 : 1
    13WolvesEverton2 : 0
    14LincolnChelsea1 : 2
    15WiganWycombe0 : 2
    16FulhamCambridge Utd1 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1ArsenalBrighton
    2GrimsbyBrentford
    3SwanseaManchester City
    4NewcastleTottenham
    5WrexhamCardiff
    6LiverpoolCrystal Palace
    7WolvesChelsea
    8WycombeFulham