KeuPa vs Hermes Kokkola – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:4
24/02/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Mestis
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2034
Shots off target
159
Shooting PCT
5% (1/20)11.76% (4/34)
Blocked shots
106
Goalkeeper Saves
3019
Saves PCT
88.24% (30/34)95% (19/20)
Penalties
11
PIM
22
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
10
Power-play PCT
0% (0/1)0% (0/1)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (1/1)100% (1/1)
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 2)
  • 03:43, 1 - 0, Tarvainen K. (G), Tohila R. (A),
  • 17:01, 1 - 1, Ohtonen J. (G), Lauri O. (A), Hahl V. (A2)
  • 19:02, 1 - 2, Lauri O. (G), Monkkonen M. (A), Virolainen J. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (0 - 1)
  • 05:34, 1 - 3, Cederberg E. (G), Ohtonen J. (A),
  • 3rd Period (0 - 1)
  • 03:14, 1 - 4, Heinonen O. (G), Vahatalo J. (A), Savolainen V. (A2)

Chances of winning


KeuPa
28.1%
Draw
21.6%
Hermes Kokkola
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.5% 21.7% 43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39% 24.6% 38.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • KeuPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that KeuPa's form might have worsened.
  • Hermes Kokkola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hermes Kokkola's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for KeuPa than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for KeuPa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hermes Kokkola than the current prediction. (-11.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hermes Kokkola, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • KeuPa - Hermes Kokkola Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.27
    (2.69)
    4.26
    (4.27)
    1.83
    (2.12)
    8.8%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
    What is the prediction for KeuPa - Hermes Kokkola?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Hermes (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Period - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 5.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • KeuPa is Mestis (Relegation)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KeuPa won 2.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • KeuPa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Hermes has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KeuPa won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 56:79. (average 2.8:4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, KeuPa won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:36. (average 2.8:4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between KeuPa - Hermes Kokkola were as follows:
    12.02.2026 KeuPa - Hermes Kokkola 5:2
    17.01.2026 Hermes Kokkola - KeuPa 4:1
    06.01.2026 Hermes Kokkola - KeuPa 3:2
    10.10.2025 KeuPa - Hermes Kokkola 4:7
    01.10.2025 Hermes Kokkola - KeuPa 4:7
    Latest results of KeuPa
    21.02.2026 KeuPa - Jokerit 1:2
    17.02.2026 Imatran Ketterä - KeuPa 1:2
    14.02.2026 KeuPa - Imatran Ketterä 3:1
    12.02.2026 KeuPa - Hermes Kokkola 5:2
    10.02.2026 IPK - KeuPa 2:4
    Latest results of Hermes Kokkola
    21.02.2026 Hermes Kokkola - RoKi 2:1
    19.02.2026 RoKi - Hermes Kokkola 2:5
    12.02.2026 KeuPa - Hermes Kokkola 5:2
    07.02.2026 IPK - Hermes Kokkola 2:3
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Jokerit (1)Kiekko-Pojat (8)4 : 2
    2K-Vantaa (4)TUTO (5)4 : 1
    3IPK (2)Hermes (7)4 : 1
    4Kettera (3)RoKi (6)4 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Jokerit (1)K-Vantaa (4)
    2IPK (2)Kettera (3)