Horsham vs Chelmsford City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
24/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • National League South - Round 28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Crowther A. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 64', 1 - 1, Fenelon S. ,
  • 81', 2 - 1, Hammond J. ,
  • 86', 2 - 2, Barbrook H. ,
  • 89', 2 - 3, Odegah J. ,

Chances of winning


Horsham
37.4%
Draw
29.1%
Chelmsford City
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.8% 26.5% 31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5% 25.5% 30.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Horsham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Chelmsford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Horsham than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Horsham, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelmsford City than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • Horsham - Chelmsford City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.48
    (2.22)
    3.18
    (3.51)
    2.77
    (2.93)
    8%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Chelmsford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Horsham won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Horsham - Chelmsford City were as follows:
    09.08.2025 Chelmsford City - Horsham 1:0
    Latest results of Horsham
    17.01.2026 Worthing - Horsham 1:1
    10.01.2026 Leatherhead - Horsham 2:3
    30.12.2025 Horsham - Farnborough 2:2
    Latest results of Chelmsford City
    English National League South Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dorking34207762:402267
    2Hornchurch34188857:461162
    3Worthing351871076:423461
    4Torquay351771164:491558
    5Ebbsfleet351511950:401056
    6Maidenhead341671149:311855
    7Maidstone3615101151:351655
    8Hemel Hempstead341671136:36055
    9Weston-super-Mare321661046:331354
    10Chesham341581141:35653
    11Chelmsford321651145:41453
    12Horsham FC341213944:36849
    13Dag & Red3513101245:41449
    14AFC Totton331451443:55-1247
    15Slough351371552:55-346
    16Dover3511101449:53-443
    17Tonbridge3510111449:53-441
    18Salisbury361091733:50-1739
    19Hampton & Richmond369101742:57-1537
    20Farnborough348101646:70-2434
    21Bath327111431:43-1232
    22Eastbourne Boro36872146:67-2131
    23Enfield Town347101741:62-2131
    24Chippenham36782137:65-2829

          Promotion ~ National League
          Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation