Santos vs San Marcos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Peruvian Liga 2 Santos - San Marcos
Result
3:0
09/08/2025 at 16:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 2 - Promotion Group - Round 4

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Colon S. ,
  • 30', 2 - 0, Colon S. ,
  • 44', Cuneo O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Moyano D. , Ramirez S. ,
  • 46', Garcia A. , Carrillo A. ,
  • 46', Stein A. , Quincho J. ,
  • 58', Castro F. 🟨,
  • 58', 🟨,
  • 61', Mena Y. , Curiel M. ,
  • 66', Deza J. , Condena A. ,
  • 70', 🟨,
  • 71', Castro F. , Rivera L. ,
  • 76', Paz L. 🟨,
  • 76', Munoz J. 🟨,
  • 77', Colon S. , Farias J. ,
  • 77', Cuneo O. , Carranza T. ,
  • 77', Munoz J. , Garcia C. ,
  • 80', 3 - 0, Farias J. ,
  • 89', 🟨,
  • 90+1', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Santos
53.8%
Draw
28.4%
San Marcos
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.8% 27.6% 32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6% 26.1% 34.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santos's performance.
  • San Marcos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Marcos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-16.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santos that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marcos than the current prediction. (+16.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Marcos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Santos - San Marcos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (2.24)
    3.5
    (3.23)
    5.56
    (2.74)
    0.7%
    (12.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Santos - San Marcos?
  • Users Predictions: Santos will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Santos will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent performances by Santos have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • San Marcos has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Santos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Santos
    03.08.2025 ADA Jaén - Santos 1:2
    26.07.2025 Santos - Unión Comercio 0:2
    06.07.2025 Santos - Cantolao 2:0
    14.06.2025 Santos - Unión Comercio 2:1
    Latest results of San Marcos
    Peruvian Liga 2 Table
    Promotion Group

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tacna Heroica42117:707
    2Carlos Mannucci32015:236
    3Moquegua31115:6-15
    4Cesar Vallejo31114:314
    5FC Cajamarca30121:4-33


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union Comercio33006:069
    2Santos32015:326
    3San Marcos31111:3-25
    4Comerciantes30121:4-33
    5ADA Jaen40222:5-32

          Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)