Result
2:0
04/10/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Mexico | AYM Sports |
Usa | Aym Sports |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Ball Possession |
---|
46% | 54% |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 5 |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 4 |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
9 | 6 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', Sanchez E. 🟨,
- 20', 1 - 0, Camacho Lastra R. E. ⚽, Fierro C. (A),
- 27', Ramirez A. 🟨,
- 33', Ramirez A. ↓, Cortes J. ↑,
- 43', Valenzuela M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 51', Flores A. 🟨,
- 52', Vargas L. ↓, Vazquez D. ↑,
- 52', Yanez S. ↓, Rengifo J. ↑,
- 67', Flores A. ↓, Egana A. ↑,
- 67', Galicia C. ↓, Leyva C. ↑,
- 69', Rivera E. ↓, Brigido J. ↑,
- 69', Lopez R. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
- 75', Fierro C. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
- 79', Ruiz L. 🟨,
- 86', Camacho Lastra R. E. ↓, Gonzalez O. ↑,
- 86', De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. ↓, Madrigal K. ↑,
- 90+3', 2 - 0, Perez J. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Leones Negros UdeG 66.7% | Draw 18.7% | Dorados 14.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leones Negros UdeG has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Dorados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leones Negros UdeG than the current prediction. (-17.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leones Negros UdeG that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorados than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Leones Negros UdeG - Dorados Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.38 ↓ (1.41) |
5.01 ↑ (4.7) |
6.44 ↑ (6.37) |
7.8% (7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leones Negros UdeG won 5.
- Recent form of Leones Negros UdeG has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Dorados is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Leones Negros UdeG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Leones Negros UdeG is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leones Negros UdeG won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 30:20. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leones Negros UdeG won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.5:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Leones Negros UdeG won against Dorados?
Leones Negros UdeG has won 6 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dorados won against Leones Negros UdeG?
Dorados has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leones Negros UdeG - Dorados were as follows:
19.01.2025
Leones Negros UdeG
-
Dorados
4:0
03.08.2024
Dorados
-
Leones Negros UdeG
0:1
20.03.2024
Dorados
-
Leones Negros UdeG
1:2
14.09.2023
Leones Negros UdeG
-
Dorados
4:0
20.04.2023
Leones Negros UdeG
-
Dorados
2:0
Latest results of Leones Negros UdeG
Latest results of Dorados
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Cancun | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17:4 | 13 | 22 |
2 | Tampico Madero | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14:8 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Atlante | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 21:8 | 13 | 19 |
4 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 19:11 | 8 | 17 |
5 | Irapuato | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 17 |
6 | Leones Negros | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 12 |
7 | Atletico La Paz | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 19:18 | 1 | 12 |
8 | Tlaxcala | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:19 | -8 | 12 |
9 | Tapatio | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:12 | 1 | 11 |
10 | Venados | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 22:24 | -2 | 11 |
11 | Atl. Morelia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:18 | -5 | 11 |
12 | Zacatecas Mineros | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14:14 | 0 | 10 |
13 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:19 | -8 | 7 |
14 | Correcaminos | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 14:27 | -13 | 6 |
15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6:20 | -14 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)