Leones Negros UdeG vs Dorados – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Leones Negros UdeG - Dorados
Result
2:0
04/10/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoAYM Sports
usaUsaAym Sports

Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
159
Shots on target
63
Corner Kicks
85
Yellow Cards
14
Total shots
159
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
96
Corner Kicks
85

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 12', Sanchez E. 🟨,
  • 20', 1 - 0, Camacho Lastra R. E. , Fierro C. (A),
  • 27', Ramirez A. 🟨,
  • 33', Ramirez A. , Cortes J. ,
  • 43', Valenzuela M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 51', Flores A. 🟨,
  • 52', Vargas L. , Vazquez D. ,
  • 52', Yanez S. , Rengifo J. ,
  • 67', Flores A. , Egana A. ,
  • 67', Galicia C. , Leyva C. ,
  • 69', Rivera E. , Brigido J. ,
  • 69', Lopez R. , Flores L. ,
  • 75', Fierro C. , Perez J. ,
  • 79', Ruiz L. 🟨,
  • 86', Camacho Lastra R. E. , Gonzalez O. ,
  • 86', De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. , Madrigal K. ,
  • 90+3', 2 - 0, Perez J. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Leones Negros UdeG
66.7%
Draw
18.7%
Dorados
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.7% 19.7% 14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4% 14.8% 19.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leones Negros UdeG has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Dorados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leones Negros UdeG than the current prediction. (-17.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leones Negros UdeG that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorados than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • Leones Negros UdeG - Dorados Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.38
    (1.41)
    5.01
    (4.7)
    6.44
    (6.37)
    7.8%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leones Negros UdeG won 5.
    • Recent form of Leones Negros UdeG has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Dorados is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Leones Negros UdeG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Leones Negros UdeG is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leones Negros UdeG won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 30:20. (average 1.5:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Leones Negros UdeG won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.5:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leones Negros UdeG - Dorados were as follows:
    19.01.2025 Leones Negros UdeG - Dorados 4:0
    03.08.2024 Dorados - Leones Negros UdeG 0:1
    20.03.2024 Dorados - Leones Negros UdeG 1:2
    14.09.2023 Leones Negros UdeG - Dorados 4:0
    20.04.2023 Leones Negros UdeG - Dorados 2:0
    Latest results of Leones Negros UdeG
    Latest results of Dorados
    27.09.2025 Dorados - Jaiba Brava 2:3
    05.09.2025 Dorados - Irapuato 0:1
    29.08.2025 Atlético La Paz - Dorados 3:1
    Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cancun971117:41322
    2Tampico Madero862014:8620
    3Atlante961221:81319
    4Tepatitlan de Morelos1045119:11817
    5Irapuato952217:11617
    6Leones Negros933314:12212
    7Atletico La Paz933319:18112
    8Tlaxcala1033411:19-812
    9Tapatio1032513:12111
    10Venados932422:24-211
    11Atl. Morelia932413:18-511
    12Zacatecas Mineros824214:14010
    13Alebrijes Oaxaca921611:19-87
    14Correcaminos1013614:27-136
    15Dorados de Sinaloa101096:20-143

          Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)