Sarangani Marlins vs Muntinlupa Cagers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball Philippines MBPL  Sarangani Marlins - Muntinlupa Cagers
Result
72:68
11/08/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MPBL

Chances of winning


Sarangani Marlins
70.5%
Muntinlupa Cagers
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.2% 52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3% 51.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sarangani Marlins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sarangani Marlins's performance.
  • Muntinlupa Cagers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-23.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Muntinlupa Cagers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarangani Marlins than the current prediction. (-22.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sarangani Marlins that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muntinlupa Cagers than the current prediction. (+22.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Muntinlupa Cagers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sarangani Marlins - Muntinlupa Cagers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.35
    (1.95)

    3.24
    (1.74)
    4.8%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 159.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
    Preview Facts
    • Recent performances by Sarangani have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Muntinlupa has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Muntinlupa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • We predict that Sarangani will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Abra Weavers (1)Ilagan Isabela Cowboys (8)2 : 0
    2Batang Kankaloo (4)Pampanga Giant Lanterns (5)1 : 0
    3Nueva Ecija Vanguards (2)Pangasinan Heatwaves (7)0 : 1
    4San Juan Knights (3)Pasay Voyagers (6)1 : 0
    5Quezon Huskers (1)Mindoro Tamaraws (8)1 : 0
    6Basilan Viva Portmasters (4)GenSan Warriors (5)0 : 1
    7Batangas City (2)Zamboanga Sikat (7)1 : 0
    8Rizal Golden Coolers (3)Binan Tatak Gel (6)0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Abra Weavers (1)TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2