Luca Castagnola vs Leo Raquillet – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Hersonissos 3 Challenger Men Luca Castagnola - Leo Raquillet
Result
2:0
11/08/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos 3 - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
41
Double Faults
43
1st Serve Percentage
63%65%
1st Serve Points Won
70% (19/27)50% (15/30)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (8/16)25% (4/16)
Break Points Saved
50% (2/4)25% (2/8)
1st Return Points Won
53% (16/30)37% (10/27)
2nd Return Points Won
75% (12/16)50% (8/16)
Break Points Converted
75% (6/8)50% (2/4)
Winners
128
Unforced Errors
2228
Net Points Won
80% (4/5)50% (4/8)
Service Points Won
63% (27/43)40% (18/45)
Return Points Won
60% (27/45)37% (16/43)
Total Points Won
61% (54/88)39% (34/88)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
75% (6/8)25% (2/8)
Return Games Won
75% (6/8)25% (2/8)
Total Games Won
75% (12/16)25% (4/16)

Chances of winning


Luca Castagnola
48%
Leo Raquillet
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.2% 43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7% 42.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luca Castagnola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luca Castagnola's form might have worsened.
  • Leo Raquillet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leo Raquillet's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castagnola than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luca Castagnola, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leo Raquillet than the current prediction. (-9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leo Raquillet, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Luca Castagnola - Leo Raquillet Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (1.66)

    1.79
    (2.13)
    7.1%
    (7.2%)
    Preview Facts
    • Castagnola is ranked ATP: 575. Raquillet is ranked ATP: 849.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Raquillet may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Luca Castagnola
    Latest results of Leo Raquillet
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Loffhagen G. (1)Ursu V.2 : 1
    2Jodar R. (Alt)Potenza L.2 : 0
    3Wendelken H.Poullain L.2 : 0
    4Ivashka I. (Q)Langmo C. (7)2 : 1
    5Cui J. (4)Jones M.0 : 2
    6Tsitsipas Pe. (WC)Papamalamis T. (Q)0 : 2
    7Brunclik P.Makk P. (Q)2 : 1
    8Kimhi O. (Q)Moroni F. (LL)0 : 2
    9Sakellaridis S. (5)Binda A.2 : 1
    10Castagnola L. (Q)Lokoli L.1 : 2
    11Tsitsipas Pa. (WC)Rosenkranz M.1 : 2
    12Fellin P. O. (Q)Martineau M. (3)2 : 0
    13Added D. (6)Thanos A.2 : 0
    14Wiskandt M.Parker S.2 : 1
    15Tarvet O.Bicknell B. (RET.) (PR)0 : 0
    16Xilas I. (WC)Gengel M. (RET.) (2)1 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Loffhagen G. (1)Jodar R.1 : 2
    2Wendelken H.Ivashka I.2 : 1
    3Jones M.Papamalamis T.2 : 0
    4Brunclik P.Moroni F.2 : 0
    5Sakellaridis S. (5)Lokoli L.1 : 2
    6Rosenkranz M.Fellin P. O.1 : 0
    7Added D. (6)Wiskandt M.2 : 0
    8Tarvet O.Xilas I.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Jodar R.Wendelken H.
    2Jones M.Brunclik P.
    3Lokoli L.Fellin P. O.
    4Added D. (6)Xilas I.

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2