Japan vs Lebanon, Asia Cup Basketball – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball Asia Cup Basketball Japan - Lebanon
Result
73:97
12/08/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Asia Cup - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
5873
Field Goals Made
2541
Field Goals %
43.1%56.2%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
3154
2-Point Field Goals Made
1836
2-Point Field Goals %
58.1%66.7%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
2719
3-Point Field Goals Made
75
3-Point Field Goals %
25.9%26.3%
Free Throws Attempted
2314
Free Throws Made
1610
Free Throws %
69.6%71.4%
Offensive Rebounds
58
Defensive Rebounds
2131
Total Rebounds
2639
Assists
1928
Blocks
34
Turnovers
158
Steals
514
Personal Fouls
1521

Chances of winning


Japan
63.2%
Lebanon
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.1% 32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.9% 33.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Japan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Lebanon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Japan than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lebanon than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • Japan - Lebanon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.48
    (1.38)

    2.55
    (2.82)
    6.6%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 169.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)
  • What is the prediction for Japan - Lebanon?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -6.5, OT - Lebanon (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 89:82.
  • Preview Facts
    • Japan is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Lebanon has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Japan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Japan is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Japan
    10.08.2025 Guam - Japan 63:102
    08.08.2025 Iran - Japan 78:70
    06.08.2025 Japan - Syria 99:68
    01.08.2025 Japan - Saudi Arabia 85:78
    30.07.2025 Qatar - Japan 92:103
    Latest results of Lebanon
    10.08.2025 South Korea - Lebanon 97:86
    08.08.2025 Lebanon - Australia 80:93
    06.08.2025 Qatar - Lebanon 80:84
    27.07.2025 Lebanon - Egypt 87:74
    25.07.2025 Lebanon - Syria 79:69
    Draw
    Final tournament

    1/8-finals
    1Australia (A1)Bye
    2Saudi Arabia (C2)Philippines (D3)88 : 95
    3Iran (B1)Bye
    4Chinese Taipei (D2)Jordan (C3)78 : 64
    5China (C1)Bye
    6South Korea (A2)Guam (B3)99 : 66
    7New Zealand (D1)Bye
    8Japan (B2)Lebanon (A3)73 : 97

    Quarter-finals
    1Australia (A1)Philippines (D3)84 : 60
    2Iran (B1)Chinese Taipei (D2)78 : 75
    3China (C1)South Korea (A2)
    4New Zealand (D1)Lebanon (A3)

    Semi-finals
    1Australia (A1)Iran (B1)
    2TBD #3TBD #4