Result
2:1
17/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 4
- Referee: Verbeke B. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Sporza, Sporza |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 1.10 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (442/532) | 75% (248/331) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 1.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.17 | 1.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (442/532) | 75% (248/331) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (37/60) | 47% (34/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (83/131) | 62% (72/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 17% (4/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.76 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 52% (13/25) | 68% (15/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.54 | 3.17 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.54 | 1.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, Vanwesemael R. ⚽, Ferrari A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 54', Liongola J. 🟨,
- 57', Ferrari A. ↓, Goto K. ↑,
- 61', Liongola J. ↓, Sidibe S. ↑,
- 61', Pau M. ↓, Maes O. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 1, Mendy O. ⚽, Faye W. (A),
- 72', Sebaoui I. ↓, Merlen R. ↑,
- 72', Patris L. ↓, Taniguchi S. ↑,
- 80', Musliu V. 🟨,
- 84', Mendy O. ↓, Epailly T. ↑,
- 86', Maes O. 🟨,
- 87', Vanwesemael R. ↓, Matsuzawa K. ↑,
- 90+1', 2 - 1, Goto K. ⚽, Yamamoto R. (A),
Chances of winning
Sint-Truidense
54.9% | Draw
24.9% | RAAL La Louvière
20.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sint-Truidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)RAAL La Louvière has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sint-Truidense than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sint-Truidense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for RAAL La Louvière than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Sint-Truidense - RAAL La Louvière Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↑
(1.62) |
3.84 ↑
(3.8) |
4.65 ↓
(5.45) |
4.8%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Sint-Truidense - RAAL La Louvière?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 4 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Sint-Truidense will win
(18 of 18 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sint-Truidense will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Sint-Truidense is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- La Louvière's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Sint-Truidense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Sint-Truidense is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Sint-Truidense: Lapoussin L.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in La Louvière: Gueulette S.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in La Louvière: Pau M.
(Injury)
- We predict that Sint-Truidense will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Sint-Truidense won against RAAL La Louvière?
Sint-Truidense has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has RAAL La Louvière won against Sint-Truidense?
RAAL La Louvière has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sint-Truidense - RAAL La Louvière were as follows:
Latest results of Sint-Truidense
Latest results of RAAL La Louvière
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | St. Truiden | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 13 |
| 2 | Royale Union SG | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12:3 | 9 | 11 |
| 3 | Anderlecht | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 9 |
| 4 | Club Brugge KV | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Antwerp | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | KV Mechelen | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 7 |
| 9 | Genk | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | Gent | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
| 11 | RAAL La Louviere | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 12 | Waregem | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
| 13 | Leuven | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:12 | -7 | 4 |
| 14 | Westerlo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 3 |
| 15 | Charleroi | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
| 16 | Dender | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
