Result
1:0
16/08/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - First stage - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, SportyNet+, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Total shots |
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| 12 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', Emerson Santos 🟨,
- 18', Gustavo Crecci ↓, Joao Maranhao ↑,
- 19', Dudu 🟨,
- 36', Kauan Santos 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 0, Jonas Toro ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 50', Gabriel Marques 🟨,
- 62', Jeh 🟨,
- 63', Leilson ↓, David ↑,
- 63', Robinho ↓, Elimar ↑,
- 65', Dudu ↓, Gustavo Lopes ↑,
- 69', Jeh ↓, Serginho ↑,
- 69', Emerson Santos ↓, Sergio Raphael ↑,
- 75', Kauan Santos ↓, Fabricio Oya ↑,
- 75', Gabriel Marques ↓, Joao Vitor ↑,
- 76', Bruno Lopes ↓, Diego Tavares ↑,
- 84', Elvis 🟨,
- 86', Fabricio Oya 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ponte Preta
55.3% | Draw
27.6% | Itabaiana
17.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Itabaiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itabaiana than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Ponte Preta - Itabaiana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.65 ↑
(1.64) |
3.31 ↓
(3.48) |
5.34 ↑
(4.9) |
9.5%
(10.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ponte Preta - Itabaiana?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ponte Preta (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Itabaiana (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%).
- BTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Ponte Preta will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 15).
- Ponte Preta is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Itabaiana's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Ponte Preta is considered a favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ponte Preta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Ponte Preta won against Itabaiana?
Ponte Preta has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Itabaiana won against Ponte Preta?
Itabaiana has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ponte Preta - Itabaiana were as follows:
Latest results of Ponte Preta
Latest results of Itabaiana
Brazilian Serie C Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | SER Caxias ✔ | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 26:18 | 8 | 37 |
| 2 | Ponte Preta ✔ | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 19:16 | 3 | 33 |
| 3 | Nautico ✔ | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 22:7 | 15 | 33 |
| 4 | Londrina ✔ | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 27:18 | 9 | 30 |
| 5 | Sao Bernardo ✔ | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 19:13 | 6 | 30 |
| 6 | Guarani | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 18:18 | 0 | 26 |
| 7 | Brusque | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 18:17 | 1 | 25 |
| 8 | Ituano | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 19:21 | -2 | 24 |
| 9 | Floresta EC | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 13:15 | -2 | 24 |
| 10 | Botafogo PB | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22:19 | 3 | 23 |
| 11 | Confianca | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 20:22 | -2 | 23 |
| 12 | Figueirense | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 21:17 | 4 | 23 |
| 13 | Ypiranga FC | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16:21 | -5 | 22 |
| 14 | CSA | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 21:21 | 0 | 22 |
| 15 | Maringa FC | 18 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 23:24 | -1 | 22 |
| 16 | Anapolis | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 14:19 | -5 | 20 |
| 17 | Itabaiana | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 15:20 | -5 | 19 |
| 18 | ABC | 18 | 2 | 12 | 4 | 20:24 | -4 | 18 |
| 19 | Retro | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 7:21 | -14 | 14 |
| 20 | Tombense | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 12:21 | -9 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie D
Clinched Spots for Teams
SER Caxias is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Ponte Preta is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Nautico is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Londrina is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Sao Bernardo is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
