Result
1:0
16/08/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - First stage - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, SportyNet+, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', Emerson Santos 🟨,
- 18', Gustavo Crecci ↓, Joao Maranhao ↑,
- 19', Dudu 🟨,
- 36', Kauan Santos 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 0, Jonas Toro ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 50', Gabriel Marques 🟨,
- 62', Jeh 🟨,
- 63', Leilson ↓, David ↑,
- 63', Robinho ↓, Elimar ↑,
- 65', Dudu ↓, Gustavo Lopes ↑,
- 69', Jeh ↓, Serginho ↑,
- 69', Emerson Santos ↓, Sergio Raphael ↑,
- 75', Kauan Santos ↓, Fabricio Oya ↑,
- 75', Gabriel Marques ↓, Joao Vitor ↑,
- 76', Bruno Lopes ↓, Diego Tavares ↑,
- 84', Elvis 🟨,
- 86', Fabricio Oya 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ponte Preta
55.3% | Draw
27.6% | Itabaiana
17.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Itabaiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itabaiana than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Ponte Preta - Itabaiana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.65 ↑
(1.64) |
3.31 ↓
(3.48) |
5.34 ↑
(4.9) |
9.5%
(10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ponte Preta - Itabaiana?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.5 - Itabaiana (2.02) (votes: 5 - 83.3%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Ponte Preta will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ponte Preta will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Ponte Preta (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Itabaiana (votes: 5 - 62.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 15).
- Ponte Preta is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Itabaiana's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Ponte Preta is considered a favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ponte Preta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Ponte Preta won against Itabaiana?
Ponte Preta has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Itabaiana won against Ponte Preta?
Itabaiana has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ponte Preta - Itabaiana were as follows:
Latest results of Ponte Preta
Latest results of Itabaiana
Brazilian Serie C Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ituano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Maringa FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Brusque | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Floresta EC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Santa Cruz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Paysandu PA | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Botafogo PB | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Amazonas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Figueirense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Guarani | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Maranhao | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Ypiranga FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Ferroviaria | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | SER Caxias | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Inter de Limeira | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Volta Redonda | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Itabaiana | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Confianca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 19 | Barra FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 20 | Anapolis | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie D
