Result
0:2
14/08/2025 at 11:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cancun 2, hard - 1/16-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Slovakia | Arena sport 2 |
Match Stats
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| Aces |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 51% | 56% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 67% (26/39) | 81% (30/37) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
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| 46% (17/37) | 59% (17/29) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 100% (7/7) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 22% (8/37) | 36% (14/39) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 41% (12/29) | 54% (20/37) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 0% (0/7) | 17% (2/12) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 30 | 34 |
| Net Points Won |
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| 67% (6/9) | 71% (10/14) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 57% (43/75) | 71% (47/66) |
| Return Points Won |
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| 29% (19/66) | 43% (32/75) |
| Total Points Won |
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| 44% (62/141) | 56% (79/141) |
| Last 10 Balls |
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| 3 | 7 |
| Match Points Saved |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
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| 78% (7/9) | 100% (10/10) |
| Return Games Won |
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| 0% (0/10) | 22% (2/9) |
| Total Games Won |
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| 37% (7/19) | 63% (12/19) |
Chances of winning
Hugo Gaston
54.3% | Alexis Galarneau
45.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)Alexis Galarneau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hugo Gaston, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexis Galarneau than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexis Galarneau, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Hugo Gaston - Alexis Galarneau Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↑
(1.59) |
|
2.07 ↓
(2.27) |
6.8%
(6.9%) | |
What is the prediction for Hugo Gaston - Alexis Galarneau?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Gaston will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Galarneau will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Galarneau: 48.9% – 92.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Gaston is ranked ATP: 123. Galarneau is ranked ATP: 174.
- Gaston has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Galarneau's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Gaston may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Gaston is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- Recently, there has been no match between the players.
How many head-to-head matches has Hugo Gaston won against Alexis Galarneau?
Hugo Gaston has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alexis Galarneau won against Hugo Gaston?
Alexis Galarneau has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hugo Gaston - Alexis Galarneau were as follows:
Latest results of Hugo Gaston
Latest results of Alexis Galarneau
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Altmaier D. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Hanfmann Y. (Alt) | Struff J-L. (Alt) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Galan D. E. | Buse I. (Alt) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Zhukayev B. (Q) | Schoolkate T. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | De Jong J. (3) | Bye | |
| 6 | Trungelliti M. (Alt) | Pacheco Mendez R. (NG) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Gaston H. | Galarneau A. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Hernandez A. (WC) | Svrcina D. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Llamas Ruiz P. (RET.) (LL) | Noguchi R. (Q) | 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Wawrinka S. (WC) | Harper C. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Lajovic D. (RET.) | Burruchaga R. A. | 0 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Cerundolo J. M. (4) | |
| 13 | Tabilo A. (6) | Passaro F. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Gigante M. (RET.) | Tirante T. A. (Alt) | 0 : 1 |
| 15 | Pellegrino A. | Wong C. (Alt) | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Cazaux A. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Altmaier D. (1) | Hanfmann Y. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Buse I. | Zhukayev B. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | De Jong J. (3) | Pacheco Mendez R. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Galarneau A. | Svrcina D. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Noguchi R. | Wawrinka S. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Burruchaga R. A. | Cerundolo J. M. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Tabilo A. (6) | Tirante T. A. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Wong C. | Cazaux A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Altmaier D. (1) | Buse I. | |
| 2 | De Jong J. (3) | Svrcina D. (8) | |
| 3 | Wawrinka S. | Cerundolo J. M. (4) | |
| 4 | Tirante T. A. | Cazaux A. (2) | |
Semi-finalsFinal
