Result
4:1 ET
28/08/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Europa League - Qualification - Final
- Referee: Schnyder U. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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2.33 | 1.01 |
Ball Possession |
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59% | 41% |
Total shots |
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32 | 12 |
Shots on target |
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12 | 3 |
Big Chances |
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2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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5 | 5 |
Passes |
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80% (462/581) | 77% (314/407) |
Yellow Cards |
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1 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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2.33 | 1.01 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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3.73 | 0.66 |
Total shots |
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32 | 12 |
Shots on target |
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12 | 3 |
Shots off target |
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11 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
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9 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
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15 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
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17 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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5 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
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38 | 27 |
Accurate through passes |
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2 | 0 |
Offsides |
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2 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
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12 | 16 |
Passes |
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80% (462/581) | 77% (314/407) |
Long passes |
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55% (57/104) | 52% (42/81) |
Passes in final third |
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69% (127/183) | 60% (87/144) |
Crosses |
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32% (9/28) | 5% (1/20) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.72 | 0.54 |
Throw-ins |
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25 | 38 |
Fouls |
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16 | 12 |
Tackles |
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61% (17/28) | 73% (19/26) |
Duels won |
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91 | 60 |
Clearances |
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45 | 47 |
Interceptions |
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9 | 19 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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2 | 8 |
xGOT faced |
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0.66 | 3.73 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.34 | -0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Kurtulus E. ⚽,
- 24', 2 - 0, Chochev I. ⚽, Duarte D. (A),
- 26', Latifi L. 🟨,
- 26', Ibraimi B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 64', 2 - 1, Tamba F. ⚽, Ibraimi B. (A),
- 66', Zejnullai A. ↓, Krasniqi E. ↑,
- 68', Duarte D. ↓, Stanic P. ↑,
- 74', Machado M. ↓, Bile E. ↑,
- 74', Chochev I. ↓, Kaloc F. ↑,
- 82', Krasniqi E. 🟨,
- 83', Caio Vidal ↓, Tekpetey B. ↑,
- 90', Latifi L. ↓, Krstevski V. ↑,
- Extra Time (2 - 0)
- 91', Nedyalkov A. ↓, Yordanov I. ↑,
- 95', Erick Marcus 🟨,
- 98', 3 - 1, Tekpetey B. ⚽, Kaloc F. (A),
- 106', Alhassan A. ↓, Qaka K. ↑,
- 106', Webster R. ↓, Murati M. ↑,
- 107', Erick Marcus ↓, Ivanov S. ↑,
- 112', Tamba F. ↓, Ramadani F. ↑,
- 112', Cake K. ↓, Ademi F. ↑,
- 120+2', 4 - 1, Bile E. ⚽, Tekpetey B. (A),
Chances of winning
Ludogorets Razgrad 72.1% | Draw 18.1% | Shkendija Tetovo 9.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ludogorets Razgrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ludogorets Razgrad's performance.Shkendija Tetovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ludogorets Razgrad than the current prediction. (-9.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ludogorets Razgrad that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shkendija Tetovo than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Ludogorets Razgrad - Shkendija Tetovo Odds
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1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.29 ↓ (1.4) |
5.54 ↑ (3.69) |
10.41 ↑ (7.5) |
5% (11.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Ludogorets Razgrad - Shkendija Tetovo?
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Ludogorets will win (votes: 21 - 84%). Shkendija will win (votes: 2 - 8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ludogorets: 69.6% – 98.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - no (votes: 3 - 100%).
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 6 - 100%).
- O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 4 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ludogorets Razgrad will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 1-2. 2nd leg.
- Ludogorets has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Shkendija is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Shkendija may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Ludogorets is the clear favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ludogorets won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Ludogorets Razgrad won against Shkendija Tetovo?
Ludogorets Razgrad has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shkendija Tetovo won against Ludogorets Razgrad?
Shkendija Tetovo has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ludogorets Razgrad - Shkendija Tetovo were as follows:
21.08.2025
Shkendija Tetovo
-
Ludogorets Razgrad
2:1
Latest results of Ludogorets Razgrad
Latest results of Shkendija Tetovo
UEFA Europa League Table
League phase | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | D. Zagreb | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 6 |
2 | Midtjylland | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
3 | Aston Villa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
4 | Braga | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
5 | Lyon | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
6 | Lille | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
7 | FC Porto | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
8 | Plzen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 4 |
9 | Betis | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
10 | Freiburg | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
11 | Ferencvaros | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
12 | Panathinaikos | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 3 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 3 |
14 | Basel | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
15 | AS Roma | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
16 | G.A. Eagles | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
17 | Brann | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
18 | Genk | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
19 | Young Boys | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
20 | Fenerbahce | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
21 | Ludogorets | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
22 | Sturm Graz | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
23 | Stuttgart | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
24 | FCSB | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
25 | Nottingham | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 1 |
26 | Crvena zvezda | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
27 | Bologna | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
28 | PAOK | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
29 | Celtic | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
30 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
31 | Nice | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 0 |
32 | Rangers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
33 | Utrecht | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
34 | Salzburg | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
35 | Feyenoord | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
36 | Malmo FF | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)