Genk vs Lech Poznań – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Cegeka Arena (Genk).

Europa League - Qualification - Final
Referee: Massa D. (Ita)
Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1
Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.57	1.07
Ball Possession
63%	37%
Total shots
16	11
Shots on target
4	4
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
8	4
Passes
87% (469/539)	80% (259/324)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57	1.07
xG on target (xGOT)
0.94	0.91
Total shots
16	11
Shots on target
4	4
Shots off target
9	6
Blocked Shots
3	1
Shots inside the Box
8	8
Shots outside the Box
8	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
8	4
Touches in opposition box
22	24
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
12	13
Passes
87% (469/539)	80% (259/324)
Long passes
58% (29/50)	51% (22/43)
Passes in final third
76% (143/188)	67% (46/69)
Crosses
9% (2/23)	23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.33	0.62
Throw-ins
25	14
Fouls
15	12
Tackles
71% (15/21)	60% (15/25)
Duels won
51	58
Clearances
17	33
Interceptions
10	10
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
xGOT faced
0.91	0.94
Goals prevented
-1.09	-0.06

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
31', 1 - 0, Ito J. ⚽,
33', Monka W. 🟨,
35', Ito J. 🟨,
43', 1 - 1, Lisman K. ⚽, Fiabema B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kozubal A. ↓, Thordarson G. ↑,
46', Palma L. ↓, Bengtsson L. ↑,
56', 1 - 2, Bengtsson L. ⚽,
60', Skrzypczak M. ↓, Douglas A. ↑,
61', Fiabema B. ↓, Szymczak F. ↑,
67', Ito J. ↓, Steuckers J. ↑,
67', Hrosovsky P. ↓, Heynen B. ↑,
67', Adedeji-Sternberg N. ↓, Sor Y. ↑,
70', Rodriguez P. ↓, Baranski B. ↑,
78', Medina Y. ↓, Kayembe J. ↑,
90', Oh Hyeon-Gyu ↓, Mirisola R. ↑,

Chances of winning

Genk
64.5%

Draw
20%

Lech Poznań
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.3%

20.3%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

19.6%

13.9%

Genk - Lech Poznań Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.37)	4.71 ↑ (4.4)	6.12 ↓ (6.2)	7.2% (11.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Genk - Lech Poznań?

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Genk will win (votes: 25 - 75.8%). Lech will win (votes: 3 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 15.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Genk: 61.2% – 90.4%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Genk (votes: 3 - 60%). Lech (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

1st leg result: 5-1. 2nd leg.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Recently, Genk has had a series of away games.
Recently, Lech has had a series of home games.
In this match, Genk is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Genk won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 3:0.7).
Including home match between the teams, Genk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Genk won against Lech Poznań?

Genk has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Lech Poznań won against Genk?

Lech Poznań has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Genk - Lech Poznań were as follows:

21.08.2025 Lech Poznań - Genk 1:5

Latest results of Genk

21.08.2025 Lech Poznań - Genk 1:5 ✺

15.08.2025 Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Genk 1:2 ✺

10.08.2025 Standard Liège - Genk 2:1 ✺

03.08.2025 Genk - Royal Antwerp 1:1 ✺

27.07.2025 Club Brugge - Genk 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Lech Poznań

21.08.2025 Lech Poznań - Genk 1:5 ✺

16.08.2025 Lech Poznań - Korona Kielce 1:1 ✺

12.08.2025 Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Lech Poznań 1:1 ✺

09.08.2025 Piast Gliwice - Lech Poznań Postponed ✺

06.08.2025 Lech Poznań - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade 1:3 ✺

UEFA Europa League Table

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lyon	6	5	0	1	13:3	10	15
2	Midtjylland	6	5	0	1	13:5	8	15
3	Aston Villa	6	5	0	1	10:4	6	15
4	Betis	6	4	2	0	11:4	7	14
5	Freiburg	6	4	2	0	9:3	6	14
6	Ferencvaros	6	4	2	0	11:6	5	14
7	Braga	6	4	1	1	10:5	5	13
8	FC Porto	6	4	1	1	9:5	4	13
9	Stuttgart	6	4	0	2	12:5	7	12
10	AS Roma	6	4	0	2	10:5	5	12
11	Nottingham	6	3	2	1	11:6	5	11
12	Fenerbahce	6	3	2	1	9:5	4	11
13	Bologna	6	3	2	1	9:5	4	11
14	Plzen	6	2	4	0	6:2	4	10
15	Panathinaikos	6	3	1	2	9:7	2	10
16	Genk	6	3	1	2	7:6	1	10
17	Crvena zvezda	6	3	1	2	5:5	0	10
18	PAOK	6	2	3	1	13:10	3	9
19	Celta Vigo	6	3	0	3	12:9	3	9
20	Lille	6	3	0	3	10:7	3	9
21	Young Boys	6	3	0	3	8:12	-4	9
22	Brann	6	2	2	2	6:7	-1	8
23	Ludogorets	6	2	1	3	11:14	-3	7
24	Celtic	6	2	1	3	7:11	-4	7
25	Din. Zagreb	6	2	1	3	8:13	-5	7
26	Basel	6	2	0	4	8:9	-1	6
27	FCSB	6	2	0	4	7:11	-4	6
28	G.A. Eagles	6	2	0	4	5:11	-6	6
29	Sturm Graz	6	1	1	4	4:8	-4	4
30	Feyenoord	6	1	0	5	7:13	-6	3
31	Salzburg	6	1	0	5	5:11	-6	3
32	Utrecht	6	0	1	5	3:9	-6	1
33	Rangers	6	0	1	5	3:11	-8	1
34	Malmo FF	6	0	1	5	3:12	-9	1
35	Maccabi Tel Aviv	6	0	1	5	2:18	-16	1
36	Nice	6	0	0	6	4:13	-9	0

Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)