Genk vs Lech Poznań – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Cegeka Arena (Genk).

Europa League - Qualification - Final
Referee: Massa D. (Ita)
Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1
Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.57	1.07
Ball Possession
63%	37%
Total shots
16	11
Shots on target
4	4
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
8	4
Passes
87% (469/539)	80% (259/324)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57	1.07
xG on target (xGOT)
0.94	0.91
Total shots
16	11
Shots on target
4	4
Shots off target
9	6
Blocked Shots
3	1
Shots inside the Box
8	8
Shots outside the Box
8	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
8	4
Touches in opposition box
22	24
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
12	13
Passes
87% (469/539)	80% (259/324)
Long passes
58% (29/50)	51% (22/43)
Passes in final third
76% (143/188)	67% (46/69)
Crosses
9% (2/23)	23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.33	0.62
Throw-ins
25	14
Fouls
15	12
Tackles
71% (15/21)	60% (15/25)
Duels won
51	58
Clearances
17	33
Interceptions
10	10
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
xGOT faced
0.91	0.94
Goals prevented
-1.09	-0.06

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
31', 1 - 0, Ito J. ⚽,
33', Monka W. 🟨,
35', Ito J. 🟨,
43', 1 - 1, Lisman K. ⚽, Fiabema B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kozubal A. ↓, Thordarson G. ↑,
46', Palma L. ↓, Bengtsson L. ↑,
56', 1 - 2, Bengtsson L. ⚽,
60', Skrzypczak M. ↓, Douglas A. ↑,
61', Fiabema B. ↓, Szymczak F. ↑,
67', Ito J. ↓, Steuckers J. ↑,
67', Hrosovsky P. ↓, Heynen B. ↑,
67', Adedeji-Sternberg N. ↓, Sor Y. ↑,
70', Rodriguez P. ↓, Baranski B. ↑,
78', Medina Y. ↓, Kayembe J. ↑,
90', Oh Hyeon-Gyu ↓, Mirisola R. ↑,

Chances of winning

Genk
64.5%

Draw
20%

Lech Poznań
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.3%

20.3%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

19.6%

13.9%

Genk - Lech Poznań Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.37)	4.71 ↑ (4.4)	6.12 ↓ (6.2)	7.2% (11.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Genk - Lech Poznań?

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Genk will win (votes: 25 - 75.8%). Lech will win (votes: 3 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 15.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Genk: 61.2% – 90.4%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Genk (votes: 6 - 60%). Lech (votes: 1 - 10%). Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Lech (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Genk (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Genk (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1 - Genk (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Genk (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Lech (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

1st leg result: 5-1. 2nd leg.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Recently, Genk has had a series of away games.
Recently, Lech has had a series of home games.
In this match, Genk is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Genk won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 3:0.7).
Including home match between the teams, Genk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Genk won against Lech Poznań?

Genk has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Lech Poznań won against Genk?

Lech Poznań has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Genk - Lech Poznań were as follows:

21.08.2025 Lech Poznań - Genk 1:5

Latest results of Genk

21.08.2025 Lech Poznań - Genk 1:5 ✺

15.08.2025 Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Genk 1:2 ✺

10.08.2025 Standard Liège - Genk 2:1 ✺

03.08.2025 Genk - Royal Antwerp 1:1 ✺

27.07.2025 Club Brugge - Genk 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Lech Poznań

21.08.2025 Lech Poznań - Genk 1:5 ✺

16.08.2025 Lech Poznań - Korona Kielce 1:1 ✺

12.08.2025 Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Lech Poznań 1:1 ✺

06.08.2025 Lech Poznań - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade 1:3 ✺

02.08.2025 Lech Poznań - Górnik Zabrze 2:1 ✺

UEFA Europa League Table

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lyon	8	7	0	1	18:5	13	21
2	Aston Villa	8	7	0	1	14:6	8	21
3	Midtjylland	8	6	1	1	18:8	10	19
4	Betis	8	5	2	1	13:7	6	17
5	FC Porto	8	5	2	1	13:7	6	17
6	Braga	8	5	2	1	11:5	6	17
7	Freiburg	8	5	2	1	10:4	6	17
8	AS Roma	8	5	1	2	13:6	7	16
9	Genk	8	5	1	2	11:7	4	16
10	Bologna	8	4	3	1	14:7	7	15
11	Stuttgart	8	5	0	3	15:9	6	15
12	Ferencvaros	8	4	3	1	12:11	1	15
13	Nottingham	8	4	2	2	15:7	8	14
14	Plzen	8	3	5	0	8:3	5	14
15	Crvena zvezda	8	4	2	2	7:6	1	14
16	Celta Vigo	8	4	1	3	15:11	4	13
17	PAOK	8	3	3	2	17:14	3	12
18	Lille	8	4	0	4	12:9	3	12
19	Fenerbahce	8	3	3	2	10:7	3	12
20	Panathinaikos	8	3	3	2	11:9	2	12
21	Celtic	8	3	2	3	13:15	-2	11
22	Ludogorets	8	3	1	4	12:15	-3	10
23	Din. Zagreb	8	3	1	4	12:16	-4	10
24	Brann	8	2	3	3	9:11	-2	9
25	Young Boys	8	3	0	5	10:16	-6	9
26	Sturm Graz	8	2	1	5	5:11	-6	7
27	FCSB	8	2	1	5	9:16	-7	7
28	G.A. Eagles	8	2	1	5	6:14	-8	7
29	Feyenoord	8	2	0	6	11:15	-4	6
30	Basel	8	2	0	6	9:13	-4	6
31	Salzburg	8	2	0	6	10:15	-5	6
32	Rangers	8	1	1	6	5:14	-9	4
33	Nice	8	1	0	7	7:15	-8	3
34	Utrecht	8	0	1	7	5:15	-10	1
35	Malmo FF	8	0	1	7	4:15	-11	1
36	Maccabi Tel Aviv	8	0	1	7	2:22	-20	1

Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)