Result
1:0 penalties
26/08/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Champions League - Qualification - Final
- Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, SuperSport Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3 |
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 4 |
 Belarus | Okko Sport |
 Belgium | Pickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | HBO Max |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
 Denmark | TV3 Sport, Viaplay |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1 |
 France | CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1 |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 1 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 5 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3 |
 Hungary | RTL+, Sport 1 |
 Iceland | SÝN Sport |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, Vidio |
 Ireland | Premier Sports 1 ROI |
 Israel | 5 SPORT Israel |
 Japan | Wowow Prime |
 Kazakhstan | Qazsport |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Sports 2, Canal+ Sport 1 |
 Malta | TSN Malta 8 |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, HBO Max, TNT Go, TNT Sports |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand, TVWan |
 Nigeria | SuperSport LaLiga |
 North-central-america | ESPN Norte |
 North-macedonia | TDM Desporto |
 Norway | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1 |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Portugal | DAZN 1, DAZN / App |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 Singapore | beIN Sports 2 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 1 |
 South-africa | SuperSport Football |
 South-america | ESPN South, ViX Latin America |
 South-korea | SPOTV Prime |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Turkey | TRT 1 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 1 |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 1.17 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (219/343) | 83% (600/720) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 1.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.18 | 0.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (219/343) | 83% (600/720) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 27% (22/83) | 29% (17/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 48% (65/135) | 65% (97/149) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (5/27) | 13% (3/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.13 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 43 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (22/36) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 75 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 51 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 64', Glazer D. ↓, Kasabulat D. ↑,
- 70', Forrest J. ↓, Engels A. ↑,
- 70', Yang Hyun-Jun ↓, Idah A. ↑,
- 75', Tierney K. ↓, Murray D. ↑,
- 80', Ricardinho ↓, Bagdat R. ↑,
- Extra Time (0 - 0)
- 101', Hatate R. 🟨,
- 106', Hatate R. ↓, McCowan L. ↑,
- 106', Ralston A. ↓, Donovan C. ↑,
- 117', Tapalov E. ↓, Stanojev J. ↑,
- 119', Mata L. ↓, Baybek O. ↑,
- Penalties (3 - 2)
- 1, Idah A. (Pen),
- 1, Gromyko V. (Pen),
- 2, McCowan L. (Pen),
- 2, Martynovich A. (Pen),
- 3, Engels A. (Pen),
- 3, Arad O. (Pen),
- 4, McGregor C. (Pen),
- 4, Sorokin E. (Pen),
- 5, Maeda D. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Kairat
16.7% | Draw
22.1% | Celtic
61.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kairat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Celtic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kairat than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celtic than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Celtic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Kairat - Celtic Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.65 ↓
(6.23) |
4.27 ↓
(4.87) |
1.56 ↑
(1.48) |
5.4%
(4.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Kairat - Celtic?
Users Predictions:
64 users predict this event. Kairat will win (votes: 4 - 6.3%). Celtic will win (votes: 50 - 78.1%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 15.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Celtic: 68% – 88.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Celtic will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.
- Kairat is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Celtic is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Celtic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Celtic has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Celtic is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Kairat: Elder Santana
(Knee Injury)
Joao Paulo
(Knee Injury)
Satpaev D.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Celtic: Johnston A.
(Injury)
Jota
(Knee Injury)
Trusty A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Kairat: Zarutskiy A.
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kairat won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Kairat won against Celtic?
Kairat has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Celtic won against Kairat?
Celtic has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kairat - Celtic were as follows:
20.08.2025
Celtic
-
Kairat
0:0
Draw
Qualification1/8-finals| 1 | Rijeka | Bye | |
| 2 | Ludogorets | Din. Minsk | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Noah | Buducnost | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Ferencvaros | |
| 5 | TNS | Shkendija | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | FCSB | Inter Escaldes | 1 : 2, 3 : 1 |
| 7 | Shelbourne | Linfield | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Qarabag | |
| 9 | Lech Poznan | Bye | |
| 10 | Egnatia | Breidablik | 0 : 5, 1 : 0 |
| 11 | Vikingur | Lincoln Red Imps | 0 : 1, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | Bye | Crvena zvezda | |
| 13 | Zalgiris | Hamrun | 0 : 3, 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Bye | Dyn. Kyiv | |
| 15 | Pafos | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | Maccabi Tel Aviv | |
| 17 | Bodo/Glimt | Bye | |
| 24 | Bye | Sturm Graz | |
| 25 | Celtic | Bye | |
| 29 | KuPS | Milsami | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 30 | O. Ljubljana | Kairat Almaty | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 31 | Slovan Bratislava | Bye | |
| 32 | Virtus | Zrinjski | 1 : 2, 0 : 2 |
| 33 | Basel | Bye | |
| 37 | Levadia | RFS | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 38 | Iberia 1999 | Malmo FF | 1 : 3, 1 : 3 |
| 39 | FC Copenhagen | Bye | |
| 40 | Drita | Differdange | 3 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 41 | Feyenoord | Bye | |
| 44 | Bye | Fenerbahce | |
| 45 | Nice | Bye | |
| 48 | Bye | Benfica | |
| 49 | Rangers | Bye | |
| 50 | Bye | Panathinaikos | |
| 51 | Plzen | Bye | |
| 52 | Bye | Servette | |
| 53 | Brann | Bye | |
| 54 | Bye | Salzburg | |
| 56 | Bye | Club Brugge KV | |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Rijeka | Ludogorets | 1 : 3, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Noah | Ferencvaros | 3 : 4, 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Shkendija | FCSB | 2 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Shelbourne | Qarabag | 0 : 1, 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Lech Poznan | Breidablik | 1 : 0, 7 : 1 |
| 6 | Lincoln Red Imps | Crvena zvezda | 1 : 5, 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Hamrun | Dyn. Kyiv | 0 : 3, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Pafos | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 9 | Bodo/Glimt | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Sturm Graz | |
| 13 | Celtic | Bye | |
| 15 | KuPS | Kairat Almaty | 0 : 3, 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Slovan Bratislava | Zrinjski | 2 : 2, 4 : 0 |
| 17 | Basel | Bye | |
| 19 | RFS | Malmo FF | 0 : 1, 1 : 4 |
| 20 | FC Copenhagen | Drita | 1 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 21 | Feyenoord | Bye | |
| 22 | Bye | Fenerbahce | |
| 23 | Nice | Bye | |
| 24 | Bye | Benfica | |
| 25 | Rangers | Panathinaikos | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 26 | Plzen | Servette | 3 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 27 | Brann | Salzburg | 1 : 1, 1 : 4 |
| 28 | Bye | Club Brugge KV | |
Semi-finals| 1 | Ludogorets | Ferencvaros | 0 : 3, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Shkendija | Qarabag | 1 : 5, 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | Crvena zvezda | 1 : 1, 1 : 3 |
| 4 | Dyn. Kyiv | Pafos | 0 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Bodo/Glimt | Bye | |
| 6 | Bye | Sturm Graz | |
| 7 | Celtic | Bye | |
| 8 | Kairat Almaty | Slovan Bratislava | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 9 | Basel | Bye | |
| 10 | Malmo FF | FC Copenhagen | 0 : 5, 0 : 0 |
| 11 | Feyenoord | Fenerbahce | 2 : 5, 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Nice | Benfica | 0 : 2, 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Rangers | Plzen | 1 : 2, 3 : 0 |
| 14 | Salzburg | Club Brugge KV | 2 : 3, 0 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Ferencvaros | Qarabag | 3 : 2, 1 : 3 |
| 2 | Crvena zvezda | Pafos | 1 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Bodo/Glimt | Sturm Graz | 1 : 2, 5 : 0 |
| 4 | Celtic | Kairat Almaty | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 5 | Basel | FC Copenhagen | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | Fenerbahce | Benfica | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 7 | Rangers | Club Brugge KV | 0 : 6, 1 : 3 |
