Kortrijk vs Lierse – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Belgian Сhallenger Pro League Kortrijk - Lierse
Result
1:0
16/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Challenger Pro League - Round 2
  • Referee: de Beuckelaer A. (Bel)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.190.79
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
146
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
93
Passes
73% (215/296)78% (283/361)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
1.190.79
xG on target (xGOT)
0.600.07
Total shots
146
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
102
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
93
Touches in opposition box
298
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
52
Free Kicks
117
Passes
73% (215/296)78% (283/361)
Long passes
51% (33/65)37% (13/35)
Passes in final third
60% (59/99)57% (35/61)
Crosses
31% (8/26)36% (5/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.770.57
Throw-ins
2738
Fouls
811
Tackles
58% (7/12)53% (8/15)
Duels won
3642
Clearances
2440
Interceptions
128
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.070.60
Goals prevented
0.07-0.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 52', 1 - 0, Hens L. ,
  • 63', Mayoka-Tika N. 🟨,
  • 65', Mertens J. 🟨,
  • 71', Mayoka-Tika N. , Demuynck D. ,
  • 77', Dejaegere B. , De Smet L. ,
  • 77', De Buyser W. , Daguin V. ,
  • 78', De Smet L. , Ogbuehi S. ,
  • 86', van Landschoot J. , Wirsiy Nsolo F. ,
  • 86', Gboua Y. , Vermeulen T. ,
  • 86', Mertens J. , De Ridder N. ,
  • 90', Hens L. , Gueye M. ,
  • 90+2', Perdichizzi P. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Vanderhallen S. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Ambrose T. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Kortrijk
63.6%
Draw
21.7%
Lierse
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.4% 19.5% 14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9% 18.8% 13.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kortrijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Lierse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kortrijk than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kortrijk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lierse than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Kortrijk - Lierse Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.45
    (1.39)
    4.26
    (4.74)
    6.25
    (6.58)
    8.4%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kortrijk won 4.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Recently, Kortrijk has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Kortrijk is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Kortrijk won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kortrijk won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 2:1.8).
    Latest results of Kortrijk
    09.08.2025 Anderlecht U23 - Kortrijk 1:3
    26.07.2025 Kortrijk - Valenciennes 2:1
    25.07.2025 Harelbeke - Kortrijk 2:2
    09.07.2025 AEK Athens - Kortrijk 2:1
    05.07.2025 Livingston - Kortrijk 1:1
    Latest results of Lierse
    09.08.2025 Lierse - Beveren 0:2
    30.07.2025 Thes Sport - Lierse 0:2
    27.07.2025 Lierse - Berchem 0:1
    05.07.2025 Lierse - Dender EH 1:5
    29.06.2025 Tienen - Lierse 0:1