Burkina Faso vs Madagascar, African Nations Championship – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football African Nations Championship Burkina Faso - Madagascar
Result
1:2
16/08/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • African Nations Championship
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 1, Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, SuperSport Football, SuperSport GOtv Football
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
burkina-fasoBurkina-fasoRTB
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Now Player
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
kenyaKenyaGotv
laosLaosbeIN Connect
madagascarMadagascarMATV
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN SPORTS MAX
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-africaSouth-africaSABC Plus, SuperSport Action
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
ugandaUgandaFUFA TV, UBC TV
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.291.10
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
2110
Shots on target
83
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
71% (233/327)66% (175/265)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.291.10
xG on target (xGOT)
2.061.01
Total shots
2110
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
94
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
145
Shots outside the Box
75
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2610
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1312
Passes
71% (233/327)66% (175/265)
Long passes
41% (32/79)34% (20/58)
Passes in final third
56% (60/108)48% (31/65)
Crosses
50% (10/20)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.710.41
Throw-ins
3824
Fouls
1313
Tackles
85% (11/13)88% (14/16)
Duels won
5450
Clearances
1022
Interceptions
1114
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
17
xGOT faced
1.012.06
Goals prevented
-0.991.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Razafimaro F. , Rafanomezantsoa L. C. (A),
  • 25', 1 - 1, Sangare S. , Sagne H. (A),
  • 34', Ranaivoson J. , Rajaonarivelo R. ,
  • 43', Siry O. , Konate D. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 57', Sagne H. 🟨,
  • 59', 1 - 2, Rafanomezantsoa L. C. (Pen),
  • 63', Randriamanampisoa N. , Rakotondraibe T. ,
  • 63', Randrianantenaina H. , Rakotondrajoa A. ,
  • 65', Razafimaro F. 🟨,
  • 74', Barro C. , Ouattara P. ,
  • 83', Rakotoson M. , Ratsimbazafy H. ,
  • 83', Chitou A. , Bagre T. ,
  • 83', Rajaonarivelo R. , Rabemananjara R. ,
  • 86', Lougoutiogue R. , Baguian A. ,
  • 90+4', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Burkina Faso
26.2%
Draw
29.7%
Madagascar
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.2% 29.7% 38.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Burkina Faso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Burkina Faso's form might have worsened.
  • Madagascar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Madagascar's recent form is better than expected.
  • Burkina Faso - Madagascar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.84
    (2.9)
    3.31
    (3.14)
    2.17
    (2.45)
    2.3%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Burkina Faso - Madagascar?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Madagascar (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Burkina Faso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Burkina Faso
    Latest results of Madagascar
    09.08.2025 Tanzania - Madagascar 2:1
    03.08.2025 Madagascar - Mauritania 0:0
    15.06.2025 Madagascar - Comoros 0:1
    13.06.2025 Angola - Madagascar 4:1
    Draw
    Final tournament

    Quarter-finals
    1Kenya (A1)Madagascar (B2)1 : 2
    2Sudan (D1)Algeria (C2)
    3Tanzania (B1)Morocco (A2)0 : 1
    4Uganda (C1)Senegal (D2)0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Madagascar (B2)TBD #2
    2Morocco (A2)Senegal (D2)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2

    3rd place