Result
2:0 penalties
28/08/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Conference League - Qualification - Final
- Referee: Chiffi D. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Austria | ORF 1, ORF On |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Omonia TV |
Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.49 | 1.29 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (459/574) | 81% (448/552) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.49 | 1.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 1.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (459/574) | 81% (448/552) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (36/74) | 42% (22/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (125/195) | 80% (164/205) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (5/26) | 27% (6/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 1.38 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (10/19) | 67% (24/36) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 72 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.09 | 2.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 39', 1 - 0, Semedo W. ⚽, Loizou L. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Matic B. ↓, Wohlmuth F. ↑,
- 57', Masouras G. 🟨,
- 58', 🟨,
- 60', Maric M. 🟥,
- 66', Schopf A. 🟨,
- 66', Piesinger S. ↓, Agyeman E. ↑,
- 80', Ballo T. ↓, Pink M. ↑,
- 85', Eiting C. ↓, Kousoulos I. ↑,
- 85', Atanga D. ↓, Gattermayer A. ↑,
- 86', Wimmer N. 🟨,
- 87', Baumgartner D. 🟨,
- 90+2', Ewandro 🟨,
- Extra Time (0 - 0)
- 98', Semedo W. ↓, Chatzigiovanis A. ↑,
- 99', Ewandro ↓, Erakovic N. ↑,
- 101', Loizou L. ↓, Dionkou A. ↑,
- 106', Jovetic S. ↓, Neofytou A. ↑,
- 111', Nwaiwu C. ↓, Diabate C. ↑,
- 120+3', Masouras G. ↓, Stepinski M. ↑,
- Penalties (5 - 4)
- 1, Zukic D. (Pen),
- 1, Stepinski M. (Pen),
- 2, Schopf A. (Pen),
- 2, Coulibaly S. (Pen),
- 3, Pink M. (Pen),
- 3, Erakovic N. (Pen),
- 4, Baumgartner D. (Pen),
- 4, Chatzigiovanis A. (Pen),
- 5, Gattermayer A. (Pen),
- 5, Kousoulos I. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Omonia 52.5% | Draw 24.2% | Wolfsberger 23.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Omonia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)Wolfsberger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Omonia than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsberger than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Omonia - Wolfsberger Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.77 ↓ (1.89) |
3.8 ↑ (3.45) |
4.05 ↑ (3.57) |
7.6% (9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Omonia - Wolfsberger?
Users Predictions:
31 users predict this event. Omonia will win (votes: 24 - 77.4%). Wolfsberger will win (votes: 3 - 9.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 12.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Omonia: 62.7% – 92.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - Omonia (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Omonia (1.74) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Omonia (2.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Wolfsberger (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Omonia will win (12 of 16 users predict this - 75%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 21 high ROI users predict this event. Omonia (votes: 16 - 76.2%). Wolfsberger (votes: 4 - 19%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4.8%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 1-2. 2nd leg.
- Omonia is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Wolfsberger has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Omonia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Wolfsberger has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Omonia is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Omonia will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Omonia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Omonia won against Wolfsberger?
Omonia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wolfsberger won against Omonia?
Wolfsberger has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Omonia - Wolfsberger were as follows:
21.08.2025
Wolfsberger
-
Omonia
2:1
Latest results of Wolfsberger
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 4 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 4, 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 14 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 1 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Lech Poznan (11) | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar (14) | Sparta Prague (4) | |
| 3 | Crystal Palace (10) | AEK Larnaca (8) | |
| 4 | Fiorentina (15) | Rakow (2) | |
| 5 | Samsunspor (12) | Rayo Vallecano (5) | |
| 6 | Celje (13) | AEK Athens (3) | |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Mainz (7) | |
| 8 | Rijeka (16) | Strasbourg (1) | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal