Omonia vs Wolfsberger – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0 penalties
28/08/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - Qualification - Final
  • Referee: Chiffi D. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
austriaAustriaORF 1, ORF On
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Omonia TV
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.491.29
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1523
Shots on target
66
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
95
Passes
80% (459/574)81% (448/552)
Yellow Cards
24
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
2.491.29
xG on target (xGOT)
2.151.09
Total shots
1523
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
712
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
910
Shots outside the Box
613
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
95
Touches in opposition box
3826
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1711
Passes
80% (459/574)81% (448/552)
Long passes
49% (36/74)42% (22/52)
Passes in final third
64% (125/195)80% (164/205)
Crosses
19% (5/26)27% (6/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.721.38
Throw-ins
2627
Fouls
1119
Tackles
53% (10/19)67% (24/36)
Duels won
6172
Clearances
2538
Interceptions
914
Errors leading to shot
12
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
65
xGOT faced
1.092.15
Goals prevented
1.091.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 39', 1 - 0, Semedo W. , Loizou L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Matic B. , Wohlmuth F. ,
  • 57', Masouras G. 🟨,
  • 58', 🟨,
  • 60', Maric M. 🟥,
  • 66', Schopf A. 🟨,
  • 66', Piesinger S. , Agyeman E. ,
  • 80', Ballo T. , Pink M. ,
  • 85', Eiting C. , Kousoulos I. ,
  • 85', Atanga D. , Gattermayer A. ,
  • 86', Wimmer N. 🟨,
  • 87', Baumgartner D. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Ewandro 🟨,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 98', Semedo W. , Chatzigiovanis A. ,
  • 99', Ewandro , Erakovic N. ,
  • 101', Loizou L. , Dionkou A. ,
  • 106', Jovetic S. , Neofytou A. ,
  • 111', Nwaiwu C. , Diabate C. ,
  • 120+3', Masouras G. , Stepinski M. ,
  • Penalties (5 - 4)
  • 1, Zukic D. (Pen),
  • 1, Stepinski M. (Pen),
  • 2, Schopf A. (Pen),
  • 2, Coulibaly S. (Pen),
  • 3, Pink M. (Pen),
  • 3, Erakovic N. (Pen),
  • 4, Baumgartner D. (Pen),
  • 4, Chatzigiovanis A. (Pen),
  • 5, Gattermayer A. (Pen),
  • 5, Kousoulos I. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Omonia
52.5%
Draw
24.2%
Wolfsberger
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.1% 26.4% 25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4% 25.7% 24.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Omonia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • Wolfsberger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Omonia than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsberger than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Omonia - Wolfsberger Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.77
    (1.89)
    3.8
    (3.45)
    4.05
    (3.57)
    7.6%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Omonia - Wolfsberger?
  • Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Omonia will win (votes: 24 - 77.4%). Wolfsberger will win (votes: 3 - 9.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 12.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Omonia: 62.7%92.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.75 - Omonia (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Omonia (1.74) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Omonia (2.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Wolfsberger (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Omonia will win (12 of 16 users predict this - 75%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 21 high ROI users predict this event. Omonia (votes: 16 - 76.2%). Wolfsberger (votes: 4 - 19%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4.8%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-2. 2nd leg.
    • Omonia is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Wolfsberger has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Omonia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Wolfsberger has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Omonia is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Omonia will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Omonia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Omonia - Wolfsberger were as follows:
    21.08.2025 Wolfsberger - Omonia 2:1
    Latest results of Omonia
    21.08.2025 Wolfsberger - Omonia 2:1
    14.08.2025 Omonia - Araz Naxçıvan 5:0
    07.08.2025 Araz Naxçıvan - Omonia 0:4
    31.07.2025 Torpedo Kutaisi - Omonia 0:4
    24.07.2025 Omonia - Torpedo Kutaisi 1:0
    Latest results of Wolfsberger
    24.08.2025 Wolfsberger - Rapid Wien 1:2
    21.08.2025 Wolfsberger - Omonia 2:1
    14.08.2025 Wolfsberger - PAOK 0:1
    10.08.2025 Austria Wien - Wolfsberger 0:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    3Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    4Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    5Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    7Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)4 : 2, 0 : 3
    8Rakow (2)Bye
    9Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 4, 0 : 1
    10Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    11Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3, 2 : 3
    12AEK Athens (3)Bye
    13Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    14Mainz (7)Bye
    15Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    16Strasbourg (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Lech Poznan (11)Shakhtar Donetsk (6)
    2AZ Alkmaar (14)Sparta Prague (4)
    3Crystal Palace (10)AEK Larnaca (8)
    4Fiorentina (15)Rakow (2)
    5Samsunspor (12)Rayo Vallecano (5)
    6Celje (13)AEK Athens (3)
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Mainz (7)
    8Rijeka (16)Strasbourg (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2