Result
1:4
08/02/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera Division - Clausura - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 El-salvador | TCS GO |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 17', 0 - 1, Souza G. ⚽,
- 38', 0 - 2, Duenas E. ⚽,
- 45+2', 0 - 3, Duenas E. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 49', 0 - 4, Steib M. ⚽,
- 71', Rivas W. 🟥,
- 87', 1 - 4, Vasquez Guillen L. E. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Hércules
17.2% | Draw
23.9% | Alianza San Miguel
58.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hércules has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)Alianza San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alianza San Miguel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza San Miguel than the current prediction. (+9.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alianza San Miguel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Hércules - Alianza San Miguel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.33 ↓
(6.89) |
3.82 ↓
(4.47) |
1.55 ↑
(1.38) |
9.3%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Hércules - Alianza San Miguel?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Hércules (3.80) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DC - Hércules (2.15) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Hércules (9.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Hércules (5.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Hércules (3.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Hércules (3.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Hércules (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Hércules (2.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.75 - Hércules (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1 - Hércules (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Hércules will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Hércules will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 23 high ROI users predict this event. Hércules (votes: 23 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Alianza is the clear favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Hércules won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Hércules won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5.
How many head-to-head matches has Hércules won against Alianza San Miguel?
Hércules has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza San Miguel won against Hércules?
Alianza San Miguel has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hércules - Alianza San Miguel were as follows:
18.10.2025
Alianza San Miguel
-
Hércules
0:1
16.08.2025
Hércules
-
Alianza San Miguel
2:5
Latest results of Hércules
Latest results of Alianza San Miguel
El Salvador Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FAS | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 19:6 | 13 | 24 |
| 2 | Luis Angel Firpo | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Alianza FC | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Aguila | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 17:15 | 2 | 19 |
| 5 | Inter F.A | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 17 |
| 6 | Metapan | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 13:12 | 1 | 16 |
| 7 | Municipal Limeno | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:8 | 4 | 15 |
| 8 | Cacahuatique | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 13 |
| 9 | Platense Municipal | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11:15 | -4 | 9 |
| 10 | Fuerte San Francisco | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 8:18 | -10 | 5 |
| 11 | Hercules | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10:25 | -15 | 5 |
| 12 | Zacatecoluca | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8:18 | -10 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )
