Result
0:2
16/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cancun 2, hard - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Slovakia | Arena sport 2 |
Match Stats
| |
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| Aces |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 60% | 63% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 57% (17/30) | 80% (28/35) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 45% (9/20) | 52% (11/21) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 20% (1/5) | 75% (3/4) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 29% (10/35) | 43% (13/30) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (10/21) | 55% (11/20) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 25% (1/4) | 80% (4/5) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 25 | 16 |
| Net Points Won |
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| 50% (2/4) | 67% (2/3) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (25/49) | 69% (38/55) |
| Return Points Won |
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| 31% (17/55) | 49% (24/49) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 40% (42/104) | 60% (62/104) |
| Last 10 Balls |
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| 4 | 6 |
| Match Points Saved |
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| 2 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 89% (8/9) |
| Return Games Won |
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| 11% (1/9) | 44% (4/9) |
| Total Games Won |
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| 33% (6/18) | 67% (12/18) |
Chances of winning
Stanislas Wawrinka
39% | Thiago Augustin Tirante
61% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stanislas Wawrinka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stanislas Wawrinka's form might have worsened.Thiago Augustin Tirante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Thiago Augustin Tirante's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stanislas Wawrinka than the current prediction. (+11.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stanislas Wawrinka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Augustin Tirante than the current prediction. (-11.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thiago Augustin Tirante, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Stanislas Wawrinka - Thiago Augustin Tirante Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.39 ↑
(1.96) |
|
1.54 ↓
(1.8) |
6.7%
(6.6%) | |
What is the prediction for Stanislas Wawrinka - Thiago Augustin Tirante?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Wawrinka will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Tirante will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wawrinka: 39.2% – 89.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Wawrinka (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tirante (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Wawrinka is ranked ATP: 152. Tirante is ranked ATP: 135.
- Wawrinka is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Tirante has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Tirante may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
- Recently, the players have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Stanislas Wawrinka won against Thiago Augustin Tirante?
Stanislas Wawrinka has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Thiago Augustin Tirante won against Stanislas Wawrinka?
Thiago Augustin Tirante has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stanislas Wawrinka - Thiago Augustin Tirante were as follows:
Latest results of Stanislas Wawrinka
Latest results of Thiago Augustin Tirante
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Altmaier D. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Hanfmann Y. (Alt) | Struff J-L. (Alt) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Galan D. E. | Buse I. (Alt) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Zhukayev B. (Q) | Schoolkate T. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | De Jong J. (3) | Bye | |
| 6 | Trungelliti M. (Alt) | Pacheco Mendez R. (NG) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Gaston H. | Galarneau A. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Hernandez A. (WC) | Svrcina D. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Llamas Ruiz P. (RET.) (LL) | Noguchi R. (Q) | 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Wawrinka S. (WC) | Harper C. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Lajovic D. (RET.) | Burruchaga R. A. | 0 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Cerundolo J. M. (4) | |
| 13 | Tabilo A. (6) | Passaro F. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Gigante M. (RET.) | Tirante T. A. (Alt) | 0 : 1 |
| 15 | Pellegrino A. | Wong C. (Alt) | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Cazaux A. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Altmaier D. (1) | Hanfmann Y. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Buse I. | Zhukayev B. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | De Jong J. (3) | Pacheco Mendez R. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Galarneau A. | Svrcina D. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Noguchi R. | Wawrinka S. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Burruchaga R. A. | Cerundolo J. M. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Tabilo A. (6) | Tirante T. A. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Wong C. | Cazaux A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Altmaier D. (1) | Buse I. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | De Jong J. (3) | Svrcina D. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Wawrinka S. | Cerundolo J. M. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Tirante T. A. | Cazaux A. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Buse I. | Svrcina D. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Wawrinka S. | Tirante T. A. | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Svrcina D. (8) | Tirante T. A. | 2 : 1 |
