Olympique Marseille vs Paris FC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Football French Ligue 1 Olympique Marseille - Paris FC
Result
5:2
23/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 2
  • Referee: Bollengier M. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 5
andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA French 1
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
belarusBelarusOkko Sport
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 2
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
israelIsrael5 LIVE Israel
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoART Sport 4
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV3
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1x2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.890.98
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
128
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
73
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
91% (539/590)88% (333/379)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
2.890.98
xG on target (xGOT)
2.471.37
Total shots
128
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
10
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
73
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
268
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
128
Passes
91% (539/590)88% (333/379)
Long passes
53% (18/34)38% (15/39)
Passes in final third
71% (89/126)60% (33/55)
Crosses
42% (5/12)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.811.03
Throw-ins
1519
Fouls
912
Tackles
83% (10/12)70% (7/10)
Duels won
3524
Clearances
1928
Interceptions
211
Errors leading to shot
30
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.372.47
Goals prevented
-0.63-2.53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Greenwood M. (Pen),
  • 24', 2 - 0, Aubameyang P. ⚽, Greenwood M. (A),
  • 28', 2 - 1, Kebbal I. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 58', 2 - 2, Simon M. ⚽, Kebbal I. (A),
  • 63', Weah T. ↓, Nadir B. ↑,
  • 64', Simon M. ↓, Krasso J. ↑,
  • 64', Geubbels W. ↓, Gory A. ↑,
  • 69', Camara A. ↓, Doucet L. ↑,
  • 73', 3 - 2, Aubameyang P. ⚽, Nadir B. (A),
  • 74', Aubameyang P. ↓, Vaz R. ↑,
  • 81', 4 - 2, Hojbjerg P. ⚽, Nadir B. (A),
  • 83', Marchetti V. ↓, Hamel P. ↑,
  • 83', Sangui N. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
  • 85', Greenwood M. (Pen),
  • 88', Vaz R. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Garcia U. ↓, Cornelius D. ↑,
  • 90+1', Gouiri A. ↓, Bakola D. ↑,
  • 90+6', 5 - 2, Vaz R. ⚽, Greenwood M. (A),

Chances of winning


Olympique Marseille
66.7%		Draw
19.6%		Paris FC
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.5% 20.4% 13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.7% 19.5% 12.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Paris FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
    •

    Olympique Marseille - Paris FC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.43 ↑
    (1.41)    		 4.83 ↑
    (4.58)    		 7.04 ↓
    (7.15)    		 5.1%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    •
    What is the prediction for Olympique Marseille - Paris FC?
  • Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Marseille will win (votes: 34 - 89.5%). Paris FC will win (votes: 2 - 5.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Marseille: 79.8% – 99.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Olympique Marseille will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Marseille may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Marseille has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Marseille is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Marseille: Harit A. (Inactive) Kondogbia G. (Inactive) Medina F. (Injury) Paixao I. (Muscle Injury) Rabiot A. (Coach's decision) Rowe J. (Coach's decision)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
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    Latest results of Paris FC
    17.08.2025 Angers - Paris FC 1:0 ✺
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    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lyon22004:046
    2Toulouse22003:036
    3PSG22002:026
    4Strasbourg22002:026
    5Lille21104:314
    6Lorient21014:133
    7Marseille21015:323
    8Monaco21013:213
    9Nice21013:213
    10Lens21012:203
    11Angers21011:103
    12Auxerre21012:3-13
    13Rennes21011:4-33
    14Brest20113:5-21
    15Nantes20020:2-20
    16Le Havre20022:5-30
    17Paris FC20022:6-40
    18Metz20020:4-40

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          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

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