Real Sociedad B vs Málaga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
16/02/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 26
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDAZN, Disney+
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaDAZN
boliviaBoliviaDAZN
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
ecuadorEcuadorDAZN
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports Start
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Sports 2
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
paraguayParaguayDAZN
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 2, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 2
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 3
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 4
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
uruguayUruguayDAZN, Disney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDAZN, Disney+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.341.12
Ball possession
44%56%
Total shots
1317
Shots on target
84
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
51
Passes
78% (257/331)83% (353/424)
Yellow cards
54
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
1.341.12
xG on target (xGOT)
1.660.97
Total shots
1317
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
39
Blocked shots
24
Shots inside the box
813
Shots outside the box
54
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
01
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
1738
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free kicks
1419
Passes
78% (257/331)83% (353/424)
Long passes
43% (23/54)41% (25/61)
Passes in final third
59% (36/61)74% (99/134)
Crosses
22% (4/18)50% (9/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.551.44
Throw ins
1923
Fouls
1914
Tackles
33% (4/12)71% (12/17)
Duels won
5156
Clearances
2726
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
26
xGOT faced
0.971.66
Goals prevented
-0.03-0.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', Juanpe 🟨,
  • 15', 0 - 1, Larrubia D. , Munoz J. (A),
  • 24', 1 - 1, Carrera G. ,
  • 38', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Juanpe , Merino I. ,
  • 55', Ochoa A. 🟨,
  • 56', Gorosabel G. 🟨,
  • 62', Nino A. , Chupe ,
  • 62', Ochoa A. , Lorenzo D. ,
  • 68', 2 - 1, Ochieng J. , Rodriguez M. (A),
  • 71', Munoz J. 🟨,
  • 72', Gorosabel G. 🟨,
  • 74', Munoz J. , Lobete J. ,
  • 77', Ochieng J. , Marchal A. ,
  • 78', Rafita 🟨,
  • 79', Dotor C. , Jauregi E. ,
  • 85', Astiazaran L. , Unax A. ,
  • 85', Carrera G. , Mariezkurrena A. ,
  • 88', Balda J. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Rodriguez M. , Eceizabarrena J. ,
  • 90+4', Garro J. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/mry86utd

Chances of winning


Real Sociedad B
34.3%
Draw
30.1%
Málaga
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.4% 29.3% 38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4% 30.2% 37.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Sociedad B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad B than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Real Sociedad B - Málaga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.76
    (2.91)
    3.11
    (3.22)
    2.65
    (2.47)
    6.1%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Real Sociedad B - Málaga?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DNB - Real Sociedad B (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Real Sociedad B (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Málaga will win (23 of 28 users predict this - 82.14%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.95%96.33%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Málaga will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Sociedad B (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Málaga (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Recently, Real Sociedad B has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Real Sociedad B: Calderon I. (Injury) Dadie Izagirre A. (Yellow Cards) Olasagasti L. (Injury) Orobengoa E. (Knee Injury) Ruperez I. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Málaga: Brasanac D. (Knee Injury) Enriquez R. (Knee Injury) Galilea E. (Yellow Cards) Luismi (Face Injury) Pastor A. (Knee Injury) Sanchez D. (Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Real Sociedad B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Sociedad B - Málaga were as follows:
    24.08.2025 Málaga - Real Sociedad B 1:0
    Latest results of Real Sociedad B
    Latest results of Málaga
    08.02.2026 Málaga - Leonesa 2:1
    02.02.2026 Mirandés - Málaga 2:1
    23.01.2026 Málaga - Burgos 3:0
    18.01.2026 Córdoba - Málaga 0:1
    11.01.2026 Málaga - Ceuta 2:1
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander352051072:541865
    2Dep. La Coruna351710853:381561
    3Almeria351871067:521561
    4Malaga35179958:411760
    5Burgos CF35179942:291360
    6Castellon351610958:431558
    7Las Palmas351512845:301557
    8Eibar341591040:31954
    9Andorra3513101251:47449
    10Gijon351471445:44149
    11Ceuta351471442:55-1349
    12Cordoba351391347:52-548
    13Granada CF3511121244:41345
    14Albacete3511111344:47-344
    15Leganes3510121340:38242
    16Real Sociedad B351181645:50-541
    17Valladolid341091539:47-839
    18Cadiz CF351081733:48-1538
    19Zaragoza358101731:47-1634
    20Huesca35891835:53-1833
    21Mirandes35891837:56-1933
    22Cultural Leonesa35881931:56-2532

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation