Wieczysta Kraków vs Górnik Łęczna – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
25/08/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 7
  • Referee: Marciniak T. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
810
Shots on target
23
Corner Kicks
127
Yellow Cards
20
Total shots
810
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
67
Corner Kicks
127
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1016
Throw-ins
1816
Fouls
148
Goalkeeper Saves
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Rafa Santos (Own goal),
  • 34', Pazdan M. 🟨,
  • 42', Carlitos , Lysiak P. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Rafa Santos , Spiaczka B. ,
  • 63', Donkor J. , Sandoval D. ,
  • 63', Rafa Lopes , Feiertag S. ,
  • 66', Doba S. , Tkacz D. ,
  • 68', 1 - 1, Tkacz D. ,
  • 75', Swedrowski T. , Goralski J. ,
  • 75', Trabka M. , Piazon L. ,
  • 85', 2 - 1, Feiertag S. , Semedo L. (A),
  • 85', Deja A. , Bojanczyk K. ,
  • 85', Spacil B. , Traore S. ,
  • 90+3', Feiertag S. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 2 - 2, Bednarczyk J. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Wieczysta Kraków
72.4%
Draw
17.8%
Górnik Łęczna
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.4% 22.6% 18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7% 22.1% 17.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wieczysta Kraków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wieczysta Kraków's performance.
  • Górnik Łęczna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Górnik Łęczna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wieczysta Kraków than the current prediction. (-11.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wieczysta Kraków that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Górnik Łęczna than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Górnik Łęczna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Wieczysta Kraków - Górnik Łęczna Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.33
    (1.58)
    5.4
    (4.15)
    10.13
    (5.2)
    3.8%
    (6.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Wieczysta Kraków - Górnik Łęczna?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Wieczysta will win (votes: 11 - 91.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Wieczysta: 76.1%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Wieczysta Kraków will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - ArcelorMittal Park.
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).
    • Wieczysta is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Górnik Łęczna has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Wieczysta is the undisputed favorite.
    • We predict that Wieczysta will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Górnik Łęczna
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla22146253:183548
    2Chrobry Glogow22115631:201138
    3Wieczysta Krakow22107547:331437
    4Polonia Warszawa22107537:31637
    5Grodzisk M2299439:291036
    6S. Rzeszow22105735:35035
    7Polonia Bytom22105737:28935
    8Slask Wroclaw2297640:36434
    9Legnica22104839:39034
    10LKS Lodz2295834:35-132
    11Ruch Chorzow2287734:33131
    12Odra Opole2268821:27-626
    13Pogon Siedlce2268824:24026
    14Puszcza22510727:29-225
    15Pruszkow22541323:44-2119
    16Leczna22291125:41-1615
    17Tychy22351427:48-2114
    18Stal Mielec22351425:48-2314

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2