Guidonia Montecelio vs Perugia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
04/01/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group B - Round 20
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
47
Shots on target
24
Corner Kicks
64
Yellow Cards
02
Total shots
47
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
23
Corner Kicks
64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 31', Tessiore A. , Coscia W. ,
  • 39', 0 - 1, Montevago D. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Spavone A. , Zuppel D. ,
  • 51', 0 - 2, Manzari G. ,
  • 59', Mastrantonio V. , Starita R. ,
  • 65', Bartolomei P. 🟨,
  • 76', Coscia W. , Sannipoli D. ,
  • 76', Vitturini D. , Stefanelli F. ,
  • 81', Bacchin L. , Lisi F. ,
  • 86', Joselito , Torrasi E. ,
  • 87', 1 - 2, Esempio S. ,
  • 90+5', Torrasi E. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Manzari G. , Giardino C. ,

Chances of winning


Guidonia Montecelio
37.5%
Draw
31.5%
Perugia
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.7% 31% 29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1% 29.9% 28.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guidonia Montecelio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guidonia Montecelio than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Guidonia Montecelio - Perugia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.43
    (2.32)
    2.88
    (2.97)
    2.93
    (3.14)
    10%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Guidonia Montecelio - Perugia?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Guidonia (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Perugia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Guidonia could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guidonia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Guidonia Montecelio - Perugia were as follows:
    22.08.2025 Perugia - Guidonia Montecelio 0:0
    Latest results of Guidonia Montecelio
    Latest results of Perugia
    21.12.2025 Perugia - Forlì 4:0
    13.12.2025 Campobasso - Perugia 1:0
    07.12.2025 Perugia - Ternana 1:2
    30.11.2025 Juventus U23 - Perugia 1:0
    24.11.2025 Perugia - Vis Pesaro 2:1
    Italian Serie C Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arezzo33218455:223371
    2Ascoli33218459:223771
    3Ravenna34207748:301867
    4Campobasso33159947:371052
    5Pineto3313101041:39249
    6Juventus U23331391143:41248
    7Pianese331015833:32145
    8Ternana3313101039:34544
    9Gubbio3310131028:31-343
    10Vis Pesaro3310131033:32143
    11Livorno341171637:49-1240
    12Guidonia338141128:31-338
    13Carpi339101432:42-1037
    14Perugia338121335:40-536
    15Forli33991539:48-936
    16Torres336161131:42-1134
    17Sambenedettese346131525:34-931
    18Bra336121534:50-1630
    19Pontedera333111926:57-3120
    20Rimini00000:000

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation