Arianne Hartono vs Olivia Gadecki – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA US Open
Tennis WTA US Open Arianne Hartono - Olivia Gadecki
Result
2:1
21/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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moldovaMoldovaHBO Max
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norwayNorwayHBO Max
polandPolandHBO Max
romaniaRomaniaHBO Max
serbiaSerbiaHBO Max
sloveniaSloveniaHBO Max
spainSpainHBO Max
swedenSwedenHBO Max

Match Stats

Aces
15
Double Faults
313
1st Serve Percentage
58%56%
1st Serve Points Won
65% (34/52)67% (37/55)
2nd Serve Points Won
54% (20/37)39% (17/44)
Break Points Saved
29% (2/7)33% (3/9)
Average 1st Serve Speed
157 km/h153 km/h
Average 2nd Serve Speed
130 km/h137 km/h
1st Return Points Won
42% (23/55)38% (20/52)
2nd Return Points Won
61% (27/44)46% (17/37)
Break Points Converted
67% (6/9)71% (5/7)
Winners
1618
Unforced Errors
4037
Net Points Won
73% (8/11)88% (7/8)
Service Points Won
60% (52/87)54% (53/98)
Return Points Won
46% (45/98)40% (35/87)
Total Points Won
52% (97/185)48% (88/185)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
67% (10/15)60% (9/15)
Return Games Won
40% (6/15)33% (5/15)
Total Games Won
53% (16/30)47% (14/30)

Chances of winning


Arianne Hartono
34.8%		Olivia Gadecki
65.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.4% 53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3% 53.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arianne Hartono has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arianne Hartono's form might have worsened.
  • Olivia Gadecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Olivia Gadecki's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arianne Hartono than the current prediction. (+11.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arianne Hartono, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olivia Gadecki than the current prediction. (-11.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Olivia Gadecki, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Arianne Hartono - Olivia Gadecki Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.73 ↑
    (2)
    		1.45 ↓
    (1.73)    		 5.5%
    (7.8%)
    What is the prediction for Arianne Hartono - Olivia Gadecki?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Gadecki (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Olivia Gadecki will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Hartono is ranked WTA: 187. Gadecki is ranked WTA: 124.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Gadecki may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Arianne Hartono
    19.08.2025 Ana Sofia Sanchez - Arianne Hartono 1:2 ✺
    07.08.2025 Arianne Hartono - Mary Stoiana 0:2
    05.08.2025 Arianne Hartono - Kayla Cross 2:1
    30.07.2025 Arianne Hartono - Victoria Osuigwe Canceled
    26.07.2025 Arianne Hartono - Darja Vidmanova 0:2
    Latest results of Olivia Gadecki
    19.08.2025 Anouk Koevermans - Olivia Gadecki 1:2 ✺
    14.08.2025 Olivia Gadecki - Raphaelle Lacasse Gadecki O. retired
    12.08.2025 Olivia Gadecki - Gabriella Mikaul 2:0
    06.08.2025 Clervie Ngounoue - Olivia Gadecki 2:1 ✺
    30.06.2025 Greetje Minnen - Olivia Gadecki Canceled ✺
    Draw
    Singles - Qualification

    Quarter-finals
    1Jones F. (1)Hruncakova V.2 : 0
    2Watson H.Gorgodze E.1 : 2
    3Sanchez A. S.Hartono A.1 : 2
    4Koevermans A.Gadecki O. (19)1 : 2
    5Valentova T. (2)Barthel M.2 : 0
    6Prozorova T.Trevisan M.2 : 0
    7Burrage J.Tig P. M.2 : 0
    8Martinez Cirez C.Rus A. (18)0 : 2
    9Ito A. (3)Friedsam A-L.2 : 1
    10Maristany G.Rakotomanga Rajaonah T.2 : 0
    11Pedone G.Chwalinska M.0 : 2
    12Tjen J.Lepchenko V. (22)2 : 0
    13Galfi D. (4)Urhobo A. (WC)2 : 0
    14Crawley F. (WC)Chirico L.2 : 0
    15Nahimana S.Leonard M.0 : 2
    16Ormaechea P.Udvardy P. (29)0 : 2
    17Tomova V. (5)Burillo Escorihuela I.2 : 0
    18Stakusic M.Vandewinkel H.0 : 2
    19Niemeier J.Saville D.2 : 0
    20Brancaccio N.Hon P. (27)0 : 2
    21Gracheva V. (6)Brengle M.2 : 0
    22Wuerth T.Rodionova Ar.2 : 0
    23Palicova B.Pridankina E.1 : 2
    24Day K.Shibahara E. (20)0 : 2
    25Volynets K. (7)Costoulas S.2 : 0
    26Honer A. (WC)Osuigwe W.2 : 0
    27Hercog P.Andrianjafitrimo T.1 : 2
    28Fett J.Garland J. (30)2 : 0
    29Bejlek S. (8)Aiava D.1 : 2
    30Mikulskyte J.Okamura K.2 : 0
    31Vickery S.Sobolieva A.2 : 0
    32Deichmann K.Seidel E. (21)0 : 2
    33Zhang S. (9)Stoiana M. (WC)2 : 0
    34Vidmanova D.Iyengar M. (WC)2 : 0
    35Cengiz B.Wei S.0 : 2
    36Naef C.Romero Gormaz L. (23)0 : 2
    37Pera B. (10)Jones E.1 : 2
    38Pigossi L.Zidansek T.2 : 1
    39Sharma A.Radivojevic L.2 : 0
    40Nguyen A. (WC)Jimenez Kasintseva V. (28)0 : 2
    41Marcinko P. (11)Gao X.2 : 0
    42Ekstrand M. (WC)Charaeva A.0 : 2
    43Fruhvirtova L.Martic P.0 : 2
    44Branstine C.Wang Xiy. (31)1 : 2
    45Semenistaja D. (12)Lazaro Garcia A.2 : 1
    46Oliynykova O.Cabrera L.0 : 2
    47Korneeva A.Klimovicova L.1 : 2
    48Mandlik E.Ponchet J. (25)0 : 2
    49Todoni A. A. (13)Dart H.1 : 2
    50Vedder E.Akli A. (WC)0 : 2
    51Selekhmeteva O.Riera J.2 : 1
    52Shymanovich I.Kraus S. (26)2 : 1
    53Grabher J. (14)Salkova D.1 : 2
    54Dmitruk K.Juvan K.2 : 0
    55Penickova K. (WC)Hontama M.1 : 2
    56Tararudee L.Marino R. (17)1 : 2
    57Carle M. L. (15)Zhao C.0 : 2
    58Diatchenko V.Stefanini L.0 : 2
    59Davis L.Inoue H.0 : 2
    60Snigur D.Waltert S. (24)1 : 2
    61Kawa K. (16)Liu C.0 : 2
    62Hunter S.Inglis M.0 : 2
    63Brace C.Hibino N.2 : 1
    64Timofeeva M.Erjavec V. (32)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Jones F. (1)Gorgodze E.2 : 0
    2Hartono A.Gadecki O. (19)2 : 1
    3Valentova T. (2)Prozorova T.2 : 0
    4Burrage J.Rus A. (18)1 : 2
    5Ito A. (3)Maristany G.2 : 1
    6Chwalinska M.Tjen J.0 : 2
    7Galfi D. (4)Crawley F.2 : 0
    8Leonard M.Udvardy P. (29)0 : 2
    9Tomova V. (5)Vandewinkel H.1 : 2
    10Niemeier J.Hon P. (27)0 : 2
    11Gracheva V. (6)Wuerth T.2 : 0
    12Pridankina E.Shibahara E. (20)0 : 2
    13Volynets K. (7)Honer A. (RET.)1 : 1
    14Andrianjafitrimo T.Fett J.1 : 2
    15Aiava D.Mikulskyte J.2 : 1
    16Vickery S.Seidel E. (21)0 : 2
    17Zhang S. (9)Vidmanova D.2 : 0
    18Wei S.Romero Gormaz L. (23)2 : 1
    19Jones E.Pigossi L.2 : 0
    20Sharma A.Jimenez Kasintseva V. (28)1 : 2
    21Marcinko P. (11)Charaeva A.1 : 2
    22Martic P.Wang Xiy. (31)0 : 2
    23Semenistaja D. (12)Cabrera L.2 : 0
    24Klimovicova L.Ponchet J. (25)2 : 0
    25Dart H.Akli A.0 : 2
    26Selekhmeteva O.Shymanovich I.2 : 0
    27Salkova D.Dmitruk K.2 : 1
    28Hontama M.Marino R. (17)1 : 2
    29Zhao C.Stefanini L.0 : 2
    30Inoue H.Waltert S. (24)2 : 0
    31Liu C.Inglis M.2 : 0
    32Brace C.Erjavec V. (32)0 : 2

    Final
    1Jones F. (1)Hartono A.2 : 0
    2Valentova T. (2)Rus A. (18)2 : 0
    3Ito A. (3)Tjen J.0 : 2
    4Galfi D. (4)Udvardy P. (29)2 : 0
    5Vandewinkel H.Hon P. (27)0 : 2
    6Gracheva V. (6)Shibahara E. (20)0 : 2
    7Volynets K. (7)Fett J.2 : 1
    8Aiava D.Seidel E. (21)2 : 1
    9Zhang S. (9)Wei S.2 : 0
    10Jones E.Jimenez Kasintseva V. (28)0 : 2
    11Charaeva A.Wang Xiy. (31)1 : 2
    12Semenistaja D. (12)Klimovicova L.2 : 0
    13Akli A.Selekhmeteva O.1 : 2
    14Salkova D.Marino R. (17)1 : 2
    15Stefanini L.Inoue H.0 : 2
    16Liu C.Erjavec V. (32)2 : 0
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