Result
2:3
23/11/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 12
- Referee: Jalilov J. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 11', 1 - 0, Aboubakar V. (Pen),
- 13', 1 - 1, Morgan E. ⚽,
- 31', Badalov E. 🟨,
- 45', Yaw M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 55', Ronaldo 🟨,
- 59', Yaw M. ↓, Agazada A. ↑,
- 60', 2 - 1, Mahmudov E. ⚽,
- 64', 2 - 2, Diogo Rollo ⚽,
- 65', Salahly A. 🟨,
- 65', Sacko F. ↓, Khachayev M. ↑,
- 66', Seck M. ↓, Ortiz L. ↑,
- 66', Rezabala J. ↓, Sambou B. ↑,
- 76', Aboubakar V. ↓, Salyanskiy A. ↑,
- 81', Karaklajic N. ↓, Inqilably I. ↑,
- 81', Almeida D. ↓, Aliyev I. ↑,
- 87', 2 - 3, Banguera E. ⚽,
- 90+3', Vargas F. ↓, Mammadov M. ↑,
- 90+3', Juninho ↓, Isayev H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Neftchi Baku
65.9% | Draw
21.8% | İmişli
12.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Neftchi Baku has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)İmişli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftchi Baku than the current prediction. (+8.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Neftchi Baku, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for İmişli than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Neftchi Baku - İmişli Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.4 ↑
(1.31) |
4.22 ↓
(4.68) |
7.49 ↓
(9.08) |
8.6%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 9).
- Neftchi is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- İmişli's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Neftchi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, İmişli has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Neftchi is the clear favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Neftchi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Neftchi Baku won against İmişli?
Neftchi Baku has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has İmişli won against Neftchi Baku?
İmişli has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Neftchi Baku - İmişli were as follows:
22.08.2025
İmişli
-
Neftchi Baku
0:0
Latest results of Neftchi Baku
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 45:15 | 30 | 53 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 39:16 | 23 | 46 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 27:14 | 13 | 41 |
| 4 | Zira | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 38 |
| 5 | Araz | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 6 | Neftci Baku | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 30:20 | 10 | 31 |
| 7 | Sumqayit | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 31:30 | 1 | 31 |
| 8 | Shamakhi | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23:26 | -3 | 26 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 18:25 | -7 | 21 |
| 10 | Gabala | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 19:29 | -10 | 16 |
| 11 | Kapaz | 22 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 17:45 | -28 | 16 |
| 12 | Karvan | 22 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 14:45 | -31 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
