Roberto Bautista-Agut vs Jacob Fearnley – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP US Open Roberto Bautista-Agut - Jacob Fearnley
Result
1:3
26/08/2025 at 19:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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polandPolandHBO Max
romaniaRomaniaHBO Max
serbiaSerbiaHBO Max
sloveniaSloveniaHBO Max
spainSpainHBO Max
swedenSwedenHBO Max

Match Stats

Aces
220
Double Faults
918
1st Serve Percentage
64%51%
1st Serve Points Won
62% (52/84)79% (60/76)
2nd Serve Points Won
47% (22/47)46% (33/72)
Break Points Saved
42% (5/12)73% (11/15)
Average 1st Serve Speed
167 km/h182 km/h
Average 2nd Serve Speed
145 km/h161 km/h
1st Return Points Won
21% (16/76)39% (33/84)
2nd Return Points Won
54% (39/72)53% (25/47)
Break Points Converted
27% (4/15)58% (7/12)
Winners
1162
Unforced Errors
3356
Net Points Won
54% (13/24)84% (38/45)
Service Points Won
56% (75/133)63% (93/148)
Return Points Won
37% (55/148)44% (58/133)
Total Points Won
46% (130/281)54% (151/281)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
67% (14/21)81% (17/21)
Return Games Won
19% (4/21)33% (7/21)
Total Games Won
43% (18/42)57% (24/42)
Distance Covered (metres)
29152999

Chances of winning


Roberto Bautista-Agut
56.1%
Jacob Fearnley
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.8% 43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8% 40.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Roberto Bautista-Agut has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Jacob Fearnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Bautista-Agut than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • Roberto Bautista-Agut - Jacob Fearnley Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.67)

    2.17
    (2.2)
    4.6%
    (5.3%)
    What is the prediction for Roberto Bautista-Agut - Jacob Fearnley?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Bautista-Agut will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Fearnley will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bautista-Agut: 32.6%78.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Bautista-Agut (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Fearnley (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Bautista-Agut is ranked ATP: 47. Fearnley is ranked ATP: 59.
    • Bautista-Agut has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Fearnley's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Fearnley may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Roberto Bautista-Agut
    Latest results of Jacob Fearnley