Darya Kasatkina vs Elena Gabriela Ruse – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA US Open Darya Kasatkina - Elena Gabriela Ruse
Result
2:0
25/08/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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bulgariaBulgariaHBO Max
croatiaCroatiaHBO Max
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denmarkDenmarkHBO Max
finlandFinlandHBO Max
franceFranceHBO Max
hungaryHungaryHBO Max
moldovaMoldovaHBO Max
montenegroMontenegroHBO Max
netherlandsNetherlandsHBO Max
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaHBO Max
norwayNorwayHBO Max
polandPolandHBO Max
romaniaRomaniaHBO Max
serbiaSerbiaHBO Max
sloveniaSloveniaHBO Max
spainSpainHBO Max
swedenSwedenHBO Max

Match Stats

Aces
23
Double Faults
86
1st Serve Percentage
63%52%
1st Serve Points Won
59% (20/34)48% (14/29)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (10/20)22% (6/27)
Break Points Saved
33% (2/6)38% (5/13)
1st Return Points Won
55% (16/29)44% (15/34)
2nd Return Points Won
78% (21/27)50% (10/20)
Break Points Converted
62% (8/13)67% (4/6)
Winners
814
Unforced Errors
1740
Net Points Won
100% (2/2)86% (6/7)
Service Points Won
55% (29/53)34% (19/56)
Return Points Won
66% (37/56)45% (24/53)
Total Points Won
61% (66/109)39% (43/109)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
56% (5/9)20% (2/10)
Return Games Won
80% (8/10)44% (4/9)
Total Games Won
68% (13/19)32% (6/19)
Distance Covered (metres)
944928

Chances of winning


Darya Kasatkina
60.7%
Elena Gabriela Ruse
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.2% 31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.8% 33.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Darya Kasatkina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Darya Kasatkina's form might have worsened.
  • Elena Gabriela Ruse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Elena Gabriela Ruse's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darya Kasatkina than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Darya Kasatkina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elena Gabriela Ruse than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elena Gabriela Ruse, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Darya Kasatkina - Elena Gabriela Ruse Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.42)

    2.42
    (3.03)
    4.7%
    (3.7%)
    What is the prediction for Darya Kasatkina - Elena Gabriela Ruse?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Kasatkina will win (votes: 8 - 80%). Ruse will win (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kasatkina: 55.2%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kasatkina (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Kasatkina is ranked WTA: 17. Ruse is ranked WTA: 66.
    • In recent matches, Kasatkina has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Ruse is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Kasatkina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Kasatkina could have a small edge in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Darya Kasatkina
    Latest results of Elena Gabriela Ruse