Lille vs Lorient – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Result
1:1
08/03/2026 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 25
  • Referee: Kherradji A. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceDAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
italyItalyLigue 1+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoFOX One
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV3
romaniaRomaniaVoyo
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.520.45
Ball possession
58%42%
Total shots
129
Shots on target
25
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
51
Passes
87% (462/529)85% (334/393)
Yellow cards
41
Expected goals (xG)
0.520.45
xG on target (xGOT)
0.771.74
Total shots
129
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
73
Blocked shots
31
Shots inside the box
75
Shots outside the box
54
Hit the woodwork
20
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
238
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
10
Free kicks
1314
Passes
87% (462/529)85% (334/393)
Long passes
76% (41/54)47% (20/43)
Passes in final third
78% (145/187)82% (49/60)
Crosses
18% (4/22)10% (1/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.970.32
Throw ins
1410
Fouls
1413
Tackles
69% (11/16)100% (13/13)
Duels won
5040
Clearances
1230
Interceptions
119
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
31
xGOT faced
1.740.77
Goals prevented
0.74-0.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Perrin G. 🟨,
  • 32', Ozer B. 🟨,
  • 32', Mandi A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 56', Meite B. 🟨,
  • 65', 1 - 0, Fernandez-Pardo M. ⚽, Bentaleb N. (A),
  • 66', Makengo J. ↓, Le Bris T. ↑,
  • 66', Tosin A. ↓, Dieng B. ↑,
  • 73', Santos T. ↓, Meunier T. ↑,
  • 74', Perrin G. ↓, Correia F. ↑,
  • 74', Bouaddi A. ↓, Mukau N. ↑,
  • 74', Kouassi A. ↓, Yongwa D. ↑,
  • 74', Katseris P. ↓, Soumano S. ↑,
  • 80', Karim D. ↓, Semedo D. ↑,
  • 88', Fernandez-Pardo M. ↓, Edjouma N. ↑,
  • 88', Haraldsson H. ↓, Diaoune S. ↑,
  • 90+1', Bentaleb N. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 1 - 1, Avom A. ⚽, Meite B. (A),

Chances of winning


Lille
61.4%		Draw
23%		Lorient
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59% 23.1% 18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3% 23.6% 17.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • Lorient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (+2%)
    •

    Lille - Lorient Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.55 ↓
    (1.6)    		 4.15 ↑
    (4.09)    		 6.1 ↑
    (5.25)    		 4.9%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Lille - Lorient?
  • Users Predictions: 58 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 43 - 74.1%). Lorient will win (votes: 4 - 6.9%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 19%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 62.8% – 85.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1 - Lille (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 50%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Lorient (5.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Lille (2.44) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lille will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Lille (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Lorient (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lille won 3.
    • Lille is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Lorient has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Lille may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Lille is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Lille: Caillard M. (Injury) Igamane H. (Knee Injury) Mbappe E. (Thigh Injury) Sahraoui O. (Injury) Toure O. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Lorient: Abergel L. (Ankle Injury) Igor Silva (Injury) Pagis P. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Lorient: Fadiga B. (Injury) Leroy B. (Injury) Sanusi T. (Injury) Toure I. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lille won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 44:18. (average 2.2:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lille won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 24:3. (average 2.7:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lille - Lorient were as follows:
    30.08.2025 Lorient - Lille 1:7
    14.01.2024 Lille - Lorient 3:0
    27.08.2023 Lorient - Lille 4:1
    02.04.2023 Lille - Lorient 3:1
    02.10.2022 Lorient - Lille 2:1
    Latest results of Lille
    01.03.2026 Lille - Nantes 1:0 ✺
    26.02.2026 Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Lille 0:2 ✺
    22.02.2026 Angers - Lille 0:1 ✺
    19.02.2026 Lille - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade 0:1 ✺
    14.02.2026 Lille - Brest 1:1 ✺
    Latest results of Lorient
    04.03.2026 Lorient - Nice 0:1 ✺
    01.03.2026 Lorient - Auxerre 2:2 ✺
    22.02.2026 Nice - Lorient 3:3 ✺
    15.02.2026 Lorient - Angers 2:0 ✺
    07.02.2026 Brest - Lorient 2:0 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG27203461:233863
    2Lens28192754:272759
    3Lille29165849:341553
    4Marseille29164958:382052
    5Lyon29156843:291451
    6Rennes29148749:41850
    7Monaco291541050:43749
    8Strasbourg28127946:341243
    9Lorient29911938:44-638
    10Toulouse291071239:39037
    11Brest281061237:43-636
    12Paris FC298111037:45-835
    13Angers29961425:39-1433
    14Le Havre296111224:37-1329
    15Nice29771534:56-2228
    16Auxerre29591523:37-1424
    17Nantes28471724:45-2119
    18Metz29362026:63-3715

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

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