Mérida AD vs Barakaldo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
30/08/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 1

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
132
Shots on target
60
Corner Kicks
41
Yellow Cards
12
Total shots
132
Shots on target
60
Shots off target
72
Corner Kicks
41
Goalkeeper Saves
05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 24', Herranz Corral V. 🟨,
  • 42', Galarza A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', San Bartolome V. , Molina E. ,
  • 59', Munoz I. , Mandiang S. ,
  • 59', Albizua U. , Perez E. ,
  • 68', Naveira U. 🟨,
  • 70', 1 - 0, Doncel C. ,

Chances of winning


Mérida AD
46%
Draw
29.2%
Barakaldo
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43% 28.8% 28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4% 27.9% 27.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Barakaldo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • Mérida AD - Barakaldo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.02
    (2.12)
    3.15
    (3.16)
    3.68
    (3.24)
    8.3%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Recently, Mérida AD has had a series of away games.
    • Mérida AD will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Mérida AD
    Latest results of Barakaldo
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife32199452:193366
    2Celta Vigo B32169752:421057
    3Real Madrid B321471151:411049
    4Zamora321310943:37649
    5Pontevedra321213738:241449
    6Barakaldo321212841:33848
    7Ponferradina321381136:28847
    8Unionistas321381145:42347
    9Lugo321112932:34-245
    10AD Merida321291142:45-345
    11Arenas Getxo321351438:47-944
    12Ath Bilbao B321281233:36-344
    13Racing Club Ferrol321261435:41-642
    14Real Aviles321171446:53-740
    15Ourense CF329101336:37-137
    16CF Talavera32981532:41-935
    17Guadalajara32981535:47-1235
    18Cacereno327131230:41-1134
    19Osasuna B32791623:38-1530
    20Arenteiro32691729:43-1427

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