Leganés vs Leonesa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio Municipal de Butarque (Leganes).

LaLiga2 - Round 27
Referee: Bestard Servera L. (Esp)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.79	0.97
Ball possession
68%	32%
Total shots
11	11
Shots on target
1	2
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
7	0
Passes
86% (435/505)	74% (180/244)
Yellow cards
3	3
Expected goals (xG)
0.79	0.97
xG on target (xGOT)
0.82	0.63
Total shots
11	11
Shots on target
1	2
Shots off target
9	6
Blocked shots
1	3
Shots inside the box
7	6
Shots outside the box
4	5
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
7	0
Touches in opposition box
21	16
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	4
Free kicks
14	7
Passes
86% (435/505)	74% (180/244)
Long passes
43% (17/40)	43% (20/47)
Passes in final third
69% (93/134)	65% (51/78)
Crosses
30% (7/23)	0% (0/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.63	1.28
Throw ins
15	23
Fouls
7	14
Tackles
80% (12/15)	57% (8/14)
Duels won
49	35
Clearances
25	28
Interceptions
10	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	1
xGOT faced
0.63	0.82
Goals prevented
-0.37	-0.18

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', Pena R. ↓, Figueredo S. ↑,
32', 0 - 1, Chacon L. ⚽, Tresaco R. (A),
40', Chacon L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lopez R. ↓, Cisse S. ↑,
63', Diawara A. ↓, Duk ↑,
63', Calero I. ↓, Bicho ↑,
63', Maestre S. ↓, Satrustegui E. ↑,
75', Millan A. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
75', Plano O. ↓, Asue L. ↑,
77', Aguilar Lopez G. 🟨,
78', Ojeda T. ↓, Moreno V. ↑,
78', Tresaco R. ↓, Diallo Selu M. ↑,
87', Hinojo R. ↓, Al Amin H. ↑,
88', Marvel 🟨,
88', Sobrino R. 🟨,
89', 1 - 1, Asue L. ⚽, Rodriguez D. (A),
90+2', Barzic M. 🟨,
90+2', Duk 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Leganés
54.7%

Draw
26.7%

Leonesa
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

25.4%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

20.9%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leganés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Leonesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leganés that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Leganés - Leonesa Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.7)	3.5 ↓ (3.73)	5.05 ↑ (4.99)	6.7% (5.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Leganés - Leonesa?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Leganés will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Leonesa will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leganés: 29% – 96%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 20 in the zone Relegation).
Leganés has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Leonesa has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Leonesa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Leganés is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Leganés: Pulido R. (Knee Injury)
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Leganés won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Leganés won against Leonesa?

Leganés has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Leonesa won against Leganés?

Leonesa has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Leganés - Leonesa were as follows:

07.09.2025 Leonesa - Leganés 0:0

Latest results of Leganés

14.02.2026 Córdoba - Leganés 2:1 ✺

06.02.2026 Leganés - Granada 1:0 ✺

31.01.2026 Burgos - Leganés 2:1 ✺

24.01.2026 Leganés - Real Sociedad B 2:0 ✺

16.01.2026 Castellón - Leganés 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Leonesa

14.02.2026 Leonesa - Zaragoza 0:0 ✺

08.02.2026 Málaga - Leonesa 2:1 ✺

31.01.2026 Leonesa - Deportivo La Coruña 0:1 ✺

26.01.2026 Ceuta - Leonesa 3:1 ✺

17.01.2026 Leonesa - Sporting de Gijón 2:4 ✺

Spanish LaLiga2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Racing Santander	38	22	6	10	79:57	22	72
2	Dep. La Coruna	38	19	11	8	59:41	18	68
3	Almeria	37	20	7	10	74:56	18	67
4	Las Palmas	38	18	12	8	51:32	19	66
5	Castellon	38	18	10	10	65:48	17	64
6	Malaga	38	18	9	11	66:49	17	63
7	Burgos CF	38	17	11	10	44:33	11	62
8	Eibar	38	17	10	11	47:36	11	61
9	Cordoba	38	16	9	13	54:56	-2	57
10	Andorra	38	15	10	13	56:48	8	55
11	Ceuta	38	15	9	14	46:58	-12	54
12	Gijon	38	15	7	16	51:49	2	52
13	Albacete	38	13	11	14	49:51	-2	50
14	Granada CF	38	12	12	14	48:49	-1	48
15	Valladolid	38	11	10	17	41:50	-9	43
16	Leganes	38	10	12	16	41:46	-5	42
17	Real Sociedad B	38	11	9	18	46:54	-8	42
18	Cadiz CF	38	10	9	19	36:55	-19	39
19	Mirandes	37	9	9	19	40:60	-20	36
20	Huesca	38	9	9	20	39:59	-20	36
21	Zaragoza	38	8	11	19	33:51	-18	35
22	Cultural Leonesa	38	8	9	21	35:62	-27	33

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