Filip Peliwo vs Luca Castelnuovo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Shanghai Challenger Men Filip Peliwo - Luca Castelnuovo
Result
2:0
31/08/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Shanghai - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
21
Double Faults
03
1st Serve Percentage
75%50%
1st Serve Points Won
80% (41/51)74% (23/31)
2nd Serve Points Won
53% (9/17)52% (16/31)
Break Points Saved
50% (1/2)50% (2/4)
1st Return Points Won
26% (8/31)22% (11/51)
2nd Return Points Won
48% (15/31)47% (8/17)
Break Points Converted
50% (2/4)50% (1/2)
Service Points Won
72% (49/68)63% (39/62)
Return Points Won
37% (23/62)28% (19/68)
Total Points Won
55% (72/130)45% (58/130)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
91% (10/11)80% (8/10)
Return Games Won
20% (2/10)9% (1/11)
Total Games Won
57% (12/21)43% (9/21)

Chances of winning


Filip Peliwo
47.3%
Luca Castelnuovo
52.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.7% 55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1% 52.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Filip Peliwo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • Luca Castelnuovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Filip Peliwo than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castelnuovo than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • Filip Peliwo - Luca Castelnuovo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (2.09)

    1.76
    (1.69)
    7.6%
    (7%)
    Preview Facts
    • Peliwo is ranked ATP: 535. Castelnuovo is ranked ATP: 486.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Castelnuovo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Filip Peliwo
    Latest results of Luca Castelnuovo
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Evans D. (1)Xiao L. (WC)
    2(Q)van Assche L.
    3Zeppieri G.Onclin G.
    4Shimizu Y.Shimabukuro S. (8)
    5Nishioka Y. (3)Zhou Y. (NG)
    6(Q)(Q)
    7(Q)Wu Tung-Lin
    8Cui J. (WC)Hsu Y. H. (7)
    9McCabe J. (5)Sun F.
    10Te R. (RET.) (WC)Jasika O.1 : 1
    11Bai Y.(Q)
    12(Q)Tomic B. (4)
    13Zhukayev B. (6)Simakin I.
    14Uchiyama Y.Gea A. (Alt)
    15Crawford O.Sharipov M.
    16Noguchi R.Watanuki Y. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9Jasika O.
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2