Filippo Moroni vs Lui Maxted – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Cassis Challenger Men Filippo Moroni - Lui Maxted
Result
2:1
31/08/2025 at 10:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cassis - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
25
Double Faults
26
1st Serve Percentage
59%64%
1st Serve Points Won
73% (32/44)67% (42/63)
2nd Serve Points Won
48% (15/31)37% (13/35)
Break Points Saved
17% (1/6)55% (6/11)
1st Return Points Won
33% (21/63)27% (12/44)
2nd Return Points Won
63% (22/35)52% (16/31)
Break Points Converted
45% (5/11)83% (5/6)
Service Points Won
63% (47/75)56% (55/98)
Return Points Won
44% (43/98)37% (28/75)
Total Points Won
52% (90/173)48% (83/173)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
67% (10/15)67% (10/15)
Return Games Won
33% (5/15)33% (5/15)
Total Games Won
50% (15/30)50% (15/30)

Chances of winning


Filippo Moroni
54.1%
Lui Maxted
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46% 54%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Filippo Moroni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • Lui Maxted has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Filippo Moroni than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Filippo Moroni that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lui Maxted than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lui Maxted could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Filippo Moroni - Lui Maxted Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (1.83)

    2.03
    (1.83)
    7.5%
    (9.3%)
    Preview Facts
    • Moroni is ranked ATP: 523. Maxted is ranked ATP: 1070.
    • Moroni has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Maxted is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Moroni may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Filippo Moroni
    Latest results of Lui Maxted
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Halys Q. (1)Glinka D. (Alt)1 : 2
    2Stewart H. (Q)Added D.2 : 0
    3Fery A.Geerts M.2 : 0
    4Pieczkowski O. (Q)Droguet T. (5)0 : 2
    5Rodionov J. (4)Martineau M.2 : 0
    6Bertrand R.Butvilas E.2 : 0
    7Poullain L.Mmoh M.0 : 2
    8Chidekh C.Vacherot V. (8)0 : 2
    9Skatov T. (6)Escoffier A.0 : 2
    10Paire B. (WC)Malige M. (WC)0 : 2
    11De Schepper K. (Q)Coulibaly E.1 : 2
    12Moroni F. (LL)Harris B. (3)1 : 2
    13Gueymard Wayenburg S. (7)Donnet E. (WC)0 : 2
    14Paul J. (Q)Engel J. (Q)1 : 2
    15Paris T.Wallin O. (Alt)2 : 1
    16Janvier M. (Q)Lajal M. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Glinka D.Stewart H.2 : 0
    2Fery A.Droguet T. (5)2 : 0
    3Rodionov J. (4)Bertrand R.2 : 0
    4Mmoh M.Vacherot V. (8)0 : 2
    5Escoffier A.Malige M.0 : 2
    6Coulibaly E.Harris B. (3)0 : 2
    7Donnet E.Engel J.0 : 2
    8Paris T.Lajal M. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Glinka D.Fery A.2 : 1
    2Rodionov J. (4)Vacherot V. (8)2 : 1
    3Malige M.Harris B. (3)0 : 2
    4Engel J.Lajal M. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Glinka D.Rodionov J. (4)2 : 0
    2Harris B. (3)Engel J.2 : 1

    Final
    1Glinka D.Harris B. (3)1 : 2