Result
03/09/2025 at 07:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- EuroBasket - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | SportKlub 2 |
 Czech-republic | CT sport Plus |
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 France | beIN Sports MAX 5 |
 Germany | Magenta Sport |
 Greece | Nova Sports Start |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Portugal | RTP 1 |
 Serbia | SportKlub 2 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 2 |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
 World | Court Side 1891 |
Chances of winning
Estonia
52.8% | Portugal
47.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estonia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Estonia's performance.Portugal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Portugal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estonia than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Estonia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portugal than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Portugal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Estonia - Portugal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↓
(2.02) |
|
2.02 ↑
(1.8) |
4.6%
(5.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 149.50The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
What is the prediction for Estonia - Portugal?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Estonia will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Portugal will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Portugal: 38.6% – 83.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Estonia will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 76:74.
Preview Facts
- Estonia is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Portugal has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Portugal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estonia won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 383:327. (average 76.6:65.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Estonia won against Portugal?
Estonia has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Portugal won against Estonia?
Portugal has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Estonia - Portugal were as follows:
Latest results of Estonia
Latest results of Portugal
EuroBasket Table
Final tournamentGroup A | | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Turkey ✔ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 364:269 | 8 |
| 2 | Serbia ✔ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 344:273 | 8 |
| 3 | Latvia ✔ | 4 | 2 | 2 | 303:309 | 6 |
| 4 | Estonia | 4 | 1 | 3 | 287:329 | 5 |
| 5 | Portugal | 4 | 1 | 3 | 247:303 | 5 |
| 6 | Czech Republic | 4 | 0 | 4 | 263:325 | 4 |
Group B | | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Germany ✔ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 438:304 | 8 |
| 2 | Lithuania ✔ | 4 | 3 | 1 | 357:322 | 7 |
| 3 | Finland ✔ | 4 | 3 | 1 | 365:315 | 7 |
| 4 | Montenegro | 4 | 1 | 3 | 295:366 | 5 |
| 5 | Sweden | 4 | 1 | 3 | 332:344 | 5 |
| 6 | Great Britain | 4 | 0 | 4 | 265:401 | 4 |
Group C | | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Greece ✔ | 4 | 3 | 1 | 342:268 | 7 |
| 2 | Italy | 4 | 3 | 1 | 307:279 | 7 |
| 3 | Spain | 4 | 2 | 2 | 311:264 | 6 |
| 4 | Georgia | 4 | 2 | 2 | 291:302 | 6 |
| 5 | Bosnia & Herzegovina | 4 | 2 | 2 | 317:325 | 6 |
| 6 | Cyprus | 4 | 0 | 4 | 241:371 | 4 |
Group D | | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
| 1 | France | 4 | 3 | 1 | 347:317 | 7 |
| 2 | Israel | 4 | 3 | 1 | 321:295 | 7 |
| 3 | Poland ✔ | 4 | 3 | 1 | 331:317 | 7 |
| 4 | Slovenia | 4 | 2 | 2 | 363:356 | 6 |
| 5 | Belgium | 4 | 1 | 3 | 293:334 | 5 |
| 6 | Iceland | 4 | 0 | 4 | 289:325 | 4 |
Promotion ~ EuroBasket (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Turkey is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Serbia is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Latvia is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Germany is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Lithuania is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Finland is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Greece is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Poland is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
