Xiaodi You vs Maria Timofeeva – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Changsha Challenger Women Xiaodi You - Maria Timofeeva
Result
0:2
02/09/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Changsha, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
02
Double Faults
23
1st Serve Percentage
51%64%
1st Serve Points Won
37% (7/19)66% (21/32)
2nd Serve Points Won
22% (4/18)56% (10/18)
Break Points Saved
40% (4/10)67% (2/3)
1st Return Points Won
34% (11/32)68% (13/19)
2nd Return Points Won
44% (8/18)78% (14/18)
Break Points Converted
33% (1/3)60% (6/10)
Service Points Won
29% (11/38)62% (31/50)
Return Points Won
38% (19/50)71% (27/38)
Total Points Won
34% (30/88)66% (58/88)
Last 10 Balls
19
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
14% (1/7)86% (6/7)
Return Games Won
14% (1/7)86% (6/7)
Total Games Won
14% (2/14)86% (12/14)

Chances of winning


Xiaodi You
31.3%
Maria Timofeeva
68.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.7% 59.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3% 60.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Xiaodi You has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Xiaodi You's form might have worsened.
  • Maria Timofeeva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maria Timofeeva's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xiaodi You than the current prediction. (+8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Xiaodi You, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Timofeeva than the current prediction. (-8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maria Timofeeva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Xiaodi You - Maria Timofeeva Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.02
    (2.32)

    1.38
    (1.59)
    5.6%
    (6%)
    What is the prediction for Xiaodi You - Maria Timofeeva?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Timofeeva will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Timofeeva (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • You is ranked WTA: 312. Timofeeva is ranked WTA: 191.
    • Recent performances by You have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Timofeeva is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • You may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Timofeeva might have a minor edge in this game.
    • We predict that Timofeeva will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Xiaodi You
    Latest results of Maria Timofeeva
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Carle M. L. (1)Yao X.2 : 0
    2Ren Y. (WC)Yang Y. (WC)1 : 2
    3Zheng W.You X. (WC)0 : 2
    4Shi H.Timofeeva M. (8)0 : 2
    5Gao X. (4)Friedsam A-L.2 : 0
    6Paquet C.Kudashova D. (Q)2 : 0
    7Zhang Y. (RET.) (WC)Charaeva A.0 : 1
    8Kulambayeva Z.Wei S. (7)2 : 1
    9Tararudee L. (5)Guo M. (Q)2 : 0
    10Chang H.Pieri J. (Q)1 : 2
    11Ma Y.Liang E. S.2 : 1
    12Monnet C.Erjavec V. (3)0 : 2
    13Hontama M. (6)Reyngold E. (Q)0 : 2
    14Diyas Z. (RET.)Zhao C.0 : 0
    15Serban R.Saito S.1 : 2
    16Gasanova A.Garland J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Carle M. L. (1)Yang Y.2 : 0
    2You X.Timofeeva M. (8)0 : 2
    3Gao X. (4)Paquet C.2 : 1
    4Charaeva A.Kulambayeva Z.2 : 0
    5Tararudee L. (5)Pieri J.2 : 0
    6Ma Y.Erjavec V. (3)0 : 2
    7Reyngold E.Zhao C.2 : 0
    8Saito S.Garland J. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Carle M. L. (1)Timofeeva M. (8)1 : 2
    2Gao X. (4)Charaeva A. (WO.)
    3Tararudee L. (5)Erjavec V. (3)1 : 2
    4Reyngold E.Garland J. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Timofeeva M. (8)Charaeva A.2 : 0
    2Erjavec V. (3)Reyngold E.2 : 1

    Final
    1Timofeeva M. (8)Erjavec V. (3)0 : 2